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October 30, 2008 10:53 PM UTC

Palin's Poll Numbers Plummet

  • 22 Comments
  • by: Go Blue

Not only is she a huge drag on the Republican ticket, but her approval rating numbers in Alaska have plummeted over thirty points!

Gov. Sarah Palin electrified the conservative base of the Republican party when she was first picked as Sen. John McCain’s vice-presidential running mate, but polls say she has become a polarizing figure since then in her home state.

Palin’s supporters regularly refer to her as the “most popular governor in America.” But while her approval rating remains sky-high among local Republicans, she’s lost the support of Democrats and independents who once formed a significant portion of her base.

“Before all this started, her approval rating was almost universally positive with independents,” said Ivan Moore, who often polls for Democrats. “She’s really taken a hit among Democrats and independents.”

Palin’s popularity with Alaska voters has dropped precipitously, from a high of roughly 90 percent this spring – long before she was selected to join the McCain ticket – to an approval rating now of around 60 percent.

Not bad for a governor, but nowhere near the support she enjoyed before making her debut on the national stage.

A statewide poll conducted Oct. 23 by Ann Hayes found about 63 percent of respondents have a favorable opinion of Palin, with 47 percent having a very favorable opinion.

Palin’s negatives are about 35 percent, according to the telephone survey of 400 likely voters with a margin of error of roughly 5 percentage points.

“She enjoyed a tremendous level of support, and it’s now beginning to seriously erode,” Hays said. “That’s a significant drop in that matter of time when you consider that you should be the home-state hero.”

A thirty point drop is significant. She’s not only helping McCain lose the Presidential race, she’s also on her way to losing her Governor Mansion with a tanning bed.  

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22 thoughts on “Palin’s Poll Numbers Plummet”

      1. Evin Dreyer was trying to spin it so that “fair” should be included in the positive ratings. If you include the fair numbers, then yes, he was at 69%.

        But is someone who thinks Ritter is doing a “fair” job going to vote for him? Maybe, maybe not.

        I’d be curious to see if his numbers have increased since he’s been campaigning for the Dems on the ticket so hard this year.

  2. is anyone voting for VP?  I don’t necessarily think she’s qualified to be president, but I’m still voting for McCain on Tuesday.  I also think that some (obviously not all, but some) folks like Buckley that are abandoning McCain are using Palin as a convenient excuse…just an opinion obviously.

    And, while obviously her poll numbers aren’t great, remember: your party very nearly nominated a woman with extremely high negatives who very likely would be in a similar position in the polls as Mr. Obama today.

    And I agree with redstateblues.  60% is fantastic.  Close to 90% is something no one could sustain.

    1. with McCain’s age and health, Palin is very much on the ticket as the next President of the United States, and for me that’s extremely terrifying given her record in Alaska, incompetence of world affairs, and fear mongering domestically.

      As for Mac himself, I’ll rely on George Will to explain how Mac’s pick of Palin is yet another example of his poor judgement.

      Call Him John the Careless

      From the invasion of Iraq to the selection of Sarah Palin, carelessness has characterized recent episodes of faux conservatism. Tuesday’s probable repudiation of the Republican Party will punish characteristics displayed in the campaign’s closing days.

      Some polls show that Palin has become an even heavier weight in John McCain’s saddle than his association with George W. Bush. Did McCain, who seems to think that Palin’s never having attended a “Georgetown cocktail party” is sufficient qualification for the vice presidency, lift an eyebrow when she said that vice presidents “are in charge of the United States Senate”?

      She may have been tailoring her narrative to her audience of third-graders, who do not know that vice presidents have no constitutional function in the Senate other than to cast tie-breaking votes. But does she know that when Lyndon Johnson, transformed by the 1960 election from Senate majority leader into vice president, ventured to the Capitol to attend the Democratic senators’ weekly policy luncheon, the new majority leader, Montana’s Mike Mansfield, supported by his caucus, barred him because his presence would be a derogation of the Senate’s autonomy?

      1. Probably second to McGovern’s pick of Eagleton as far as veep choices go. And maybe the worst blunder since Dukakis rode the tank.

        All I’m saying is those approval numbers show that she could get re-elected if that’s what she wanted to do.

        1. Besides for how she’s changed during this campaign, she has to deal with troopergate, and another ethics complaint for abuse of funds – doling out public funds for her family’s personal use – as well as being tied to Ted Stevens, and I hear there is another corruption investigation in the making over contracts to renovate the Governors mansion and questionable gifts.

          She’s lost a lot of trust, and it’s only just the beginning.  

        2. But if she is a credible candidate in 2012 or 16, how bad of a choice could it have been?

          I just think McCain was doomed to lose this election from the beginning.  Anyone he chose was going to be a problem for someone and, at the end of the, McCain still probably loses.  At least in choosing Palin, he’s introduced a new face to the political landscape and (finally) some non-white-maleness to our national ticket.

          1. I think she’s going to be a disaster for the GOP over the next 4 years. She has shown zero intellectual depth or curiosity – and that will hurt you a lot as you try to find a way out of your morass.

            1. either she comes around in 4 years and is a credible candidate or she proves to be such a disaster repubs learn never go after the much desired hockey-mom demo again.  🙂

              and that lack of intellectual depth didn’t seem to stop us from electing Bush, not once, but twice.  Have we learned our lesson?  Maybe.  But Tuesday we’ll see that at least 45% of people haven’t…

          2. But if she is a credible candidate in 2012 or 16, how bad of a choice could it have been?

            That’s a big if. The only people I know who think she’s creible are Palin herself and those she excites. It might be more than the number of people who like Dennis Kucinich, but ultimately it’s too narrow a support base to consider her “credible.”

            Now, four years is a long time and if she lays low while getting the polish she needs from her handlers, well… I still don’t see it being enough to make her any more appealing to those who don’t find her charming or her positions in line with their values. But who knows, Bush certainly overcame those limitations, although I bet his name had as much to do with that as anything.

      2. The only thing I question is whether people who support McCain are willing to vote for Obama because they have doubts about Palin.  I thinks it’s more of a problem with the confused souls that are somehow still undecided.

        If it’s somehow still a toss-up for someone as an individual, Palin certainly is a drag on the ticket.

        1. who was saying that he could care less about economic issues and that he only votes based on who he thinks would take it to our enemies with the military.

          He said he was planning on voting for McCain, but after he picked Palin, he couldn’t do it in good conscience any longer. He’s not voting for Obama, but it’s still one less ballot cast for McCain.

          I also talked to a cab driver from Senegal who was very on the fence. He didn’t like that Obama was, in his eyes, inexperienced. He said he liked McCain a lot, but that when he picked Palin it pushed him to vote for Obama. He said he felt insulted that McCain would pick someone so obviously unqualified to be a heartbeat away from the presidency.

          So it does indeed have an effect on voters’ decisions.

          1. Or it at least gives them a conscious excuse to go the direction they were going to head in eventually. I’ve read a number of things saying that many decisions are made before we’re consciously aware of the fact.

        2. Palin was a godsend to editorial writers penning Obama endorsements for Republican papers. The Courant: “Most worrisome, however, is Mr. McCain’s choice of a running mate . . . who is not yet ready for prime time.” The Record: “[McCain’s] selection of Palin as a running mate was appalling.” The Eagle: “She is a candidate of little intellectual curiosity who appears to be hopelessly unready to be president.” The News-Register: “What could McCain have been thinking . . . ?”

          She’s also one of the reasons Powell came over.  This is an etc., etc. list.

          It may have worked if the GOP wasn’t in so much trouble.

          http://www.chicagoreader.com/f…

  3. Wow

    A growing number of voters have concluded that Senator John McCain’s running mate, Gov. Sarah Palin of Alaska, is not qualified to be vice president, weighing down the Republican ticket in the last days of the campaign, according to the latest New York Times/CBS News poll.

    All told, 59 percent of voters surveyed said that Ms. Palin was not prepared for the job, up 9 percentage points since the beginning of the month. Nearly a third of voters polled said that the vice-presidential selection would be a major factor influencing their vote for president, and those voters broadly favored Senator Barack Obama.

    Could Palin actually be a bigger burden for McCain to carry than Bush?

  4. Our beautiful soon to be Vice President Sarah Palin is the best future leader for this nation, not Senator Barak Obama.  Our beautiful soon to be Vice President Sarah Palin is also would be better at leading our nation in the future after a McCain Presidency than Senator Barak Obama would be in leading our nation in the future starting in January 2009. There are great reasons our  soon to be Vice President Sarah Palin would be a better future leader than Senator Barak Obama. The greatest reason for our  soon to be Vice President Sarah Palin’s is ideology. Our  soon to be Vice President Sarah Palin is conservative in that she is pro life, marriage, guns, low taxes, low government spending, small government, unintrosive government, traditional and judeo Christian values, Bible reading and prayer in our public schools, and military spending.She is also pro free and private enterprize. Senator Barak Obama is a liberal who is anti every thing that I have described that our  soon to be Vice President Sarah Palin is pro about or for. A second reason that our  soon to be Vice President Sarah Palin is superior is because of experience. As a governor she has two years of executive administrative governing experience that Senator Barak Obama does not have. A final reason that our  soon to be Vice President Sarah Palin is superior is because of political accomplishments. When our soon to be  Vice President Sarah Palin came to office she accomplished 3 major things which are as follows: she showed great leadership in the 3 following areas: government reform, the state budget and the economy, and wise use of natural resources. She reformed government by standing up to the big oil companies by breaking up the monopoly on power and resources. She insisted on competition and basic fairness which ended the control that the oil companies had on the state, and thereby returning control of the state back to the people. She also stood up to the special interest and lobbyist, and produced major ethics reform. She lead well in the state budget by generating a surplus which came about by vetoing a half billion dollars of wasteful spending, ending the abuses of earmark spending by congress, and by getting rid of the private jet, the chef, and the chuffer. Economically under her leadership she brought about the largest private-sector infrastructure project in North American history. She also suspended the state fuel tax, and when oil and gas prices went up dramatically, and filled up the state treasury, she sent a large share of that revenue back where it belonged – directly to the people of Alaska . On natural resources she has shown great leadership by beginning a nearly forty billion dollar natural gas pipeline to help lead America to energy independence. When the last section of the pipeline is laid and its valves are opened, will lead America one step farther away from dependence on dangerous foreign powers that do not have our interests at heart. Senator Barak Obama has done nothing, so please vote John McCain for President and give to our beautiful soon to be Vice President Sarah Palin the opportunity that she deserves leading the nation into the future after a John McCain presidency. When our soon to be Vice President does lead the nation as President after a John McCain presidency,she will be the greatest President that we have ever had. Finally she is smarter than Senator Barak Obama

    Thank You

    John Warren

    1. Don’t copy and paste the same comment to different threads. That’s bad manners.

      I suspect you’re a shill but since you sign your own name (and I’ll take you at face value there, although I don’t have to) I’ll give you a chance to show that you’re not.

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