U.S. Senate
See Full Big Line
(D) J. Hickenlooper*
(R) Somebody
80%
20%
Governor
See Full Big Line
(D) Phil Weiser
(D) Joe Neguse
(D) Jena Griswold
60%
60%
40%↓
Att. General
See Full Big Line
(D) M. Dougherty
(D) Alexis King
(D) Brian Mason
40%
40%
30%
Sec. of State
See Full Big Line
(D) A. Gonzalez
(D) George Stern
(R) Sheri Davis
50%↑
40%
30%
State Treasurer
See Full Big Line
(D) Brianna Titone
(R) Kevin Grantham
(D) Jerry DiTullio
60%
30%
20%
CO-01 (Denver)
See Full Big Line
(D) Diana DeGette*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
See Full Big Line
(D) Joe Neguse*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
See Full Big Line
(R) Jeff Hurd*
(D) Somebody
80%
40%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
See Full Big Line
(R) Lauren Boebert*
(D) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
See Full Big Line
(R) Jeff Crank*
(D) Somebody
80%
20%
CO-06 (Aurora)
See Full Big Line
(D) Jason Crow*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
See Full Big Line
(D) B. Pettersen*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
See Full Big Line
(R) Gabe Evans*
(D) Yadira Caraveo
(D) Joe Salazar
50%
40%
40%
State Senate Majority
See Full Big Line
DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
See Full Big Line
DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
October 22, 2008 06:37 PM UTC
19 Comments
http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/200…
I won’t believe a damned thing he says, good news or bad news.
There are plenty of other polling houses that are much more transparent about their methodologies.
Even as political junkies search high and low for any poll results to feed out hunger, it’s about time we stop bothering paying any attention to Zogby.
Zogby pretty much in line with several polls. See http://www.realclearpolitics.com/polls/ but don’t start counting chickens.
These numbers are at least not from one of his damned Internet polls.
And, as BlueCat points out, it’s not out of line with other polls.
…but even a broken clock is right twice a day.
I believe on Saturday it was Obama by two when everyone else was +6 or +7.
Next week it will be something else again.
It’s all over the lot, and since we don’t know how he postprocesses his numbers, we don’t know why it’s all over the lot.
Perhaps out of sheer masochism, or maybe just because I’m interested in polling methodologies, I am on the list for his internet polls. I get asked to participate in about one a week.
They’re really bad. Closed-ended questions with obviously skewed choices. One poll a few months ago, before the economic crisis swept everything else out of the news, asked for the two most important issues facing the country. The wars in Iraq/Afghanistan weren’t on the list of choices.
since he had Strickland significantly ahead of Allard going into that election day and Strickland not only lost decisively but never had a lead for a micro-second the whole night. Just sayin’ this particular poll doesn’t seem out of line. To be fair, a lot of the Zogbys were pretty accurate during this year’s primaries. Still wouldn’t place any bets based on Zogby alone.
Two words for Zogby: Senator Strickland.
Last night over at http://www.fivethirtyeight.com they had a list of the daily polling outfits. Went into the good, the bad, the concerns, the methods.
Zogby certainly passed muster.
based on a formula that takes their last few polls, closest to the election, and measures them against the actual results. They could weight the polls nearest to the election heavier.
The variance or inaccuracy of their previous polls of Presidential elections would be telling, and would help determine which polls to give most credence to.
Hell, maybe we already have something like that, who knows.
I don’t really mean the last part, it is just fun to throw Repub stupidity back at them.
A new tape has surfaced with another R, Rep. Robin Hayes of N.C. saying, and I quote, “Liberals hate real Americans that work and achieve and believe in God”.
https://dccc.org/page/contribu…
He says it right in the Sermon on the Mount:
“What would Henry Clay do?”
Source: Faux News
It’s apparent that the pre-election momentum is swinging wildly in favor of the Dems. The only question is, can they use it to secure all three branches of government? Or will they choke like Jay Cutler against San Diego. (Lose twice, win once).
Read more here: http://www.examiner.com/x-447-…
Obama’s still running the near-perfect campaign. Congressional Dems are poised to make gains – and probably substantial gains in the Senate.
The Federal Judiciary isn’t a ballot issue except in context of the other races, so it’ll have to wait until Obama and a substantial number of new Senate Democrats are sworn in.
if you work your heart out.
And even if you’re not, act like you are.
Otherwise, you’ll be one of those shell-shocked dorks who sat on their lead and celebatrated the early editions proclaiming “Dewey Beats Truman”
Winning candidates run scared.
I may be working like I’m down two, but I’m not going to lie when writing about it; McCain’s going to have to drop a complete bombshell at this point to turn the tide, I think. Re-hashing Rev. Wright or Rezko isn’t going to cut it, not when his VP is out on a publicly-funded shopping binge.
n/t