CO-04 (Special Election)
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(R) Greg Lopez
(R) Trisha Calvarese
90%
10%
President (To Win Colorado)
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(D) Joe Biden*
(R) Donald Trump
80%
20%↓
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
90%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
90%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(D) Adam Frisch
(R) Jeff Hurd
(R) Ron Hanks
40%
30%
20%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert
(R) Deborah Flora
(R) J. Sonnenberg
30%↑
15%↑
10%↓
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Dave Williams
(R) Jeff Crank
50%↓
50%↑
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
90%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) Brittany Pettersen
85%↑
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(D) Yadira Caraveo
(R) Gabe Evans
(R) Janak Joshi
60%↑
35%↓
30%↑
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
September 19, 2008 07:17 PM UTC
26 Comments
when I see it on 11/4. Until then, I am totally unconvinced that a Democrat (even a fiscally conservative one like Betsy) could possibly win by a margin larger than 5%.
Roll Call had Survey USA poll this race a few weeks ago and had Markey up +7.
The story was in the Coloradoan.
A Markey internal showed her up +6.
Musgrave isn’t releasing rebuttal internals, and she’s getting desperate in her tactics, so I’m guessing her own internal numbers aren’t good either.
as entirely objective on the subject of Marilyn Musgrave. And I don’t much respect Survey USA’s methodology. So, I’m still awaiting objective polling information on what I suspect will be a close race.
No question about that. But the fact that she is consistently polling beyond the margin of error is a good sign for Markey.
Congressman Musgrave is in a very weak position.
This is an improvement over the 7 pt. lead she had in the last poll.
I attribute it to Musty’s desperate and pathetic tactics combined with the fact that CD 4 voters are starting to see Musgrave for what she really is.
Got an URL for that?
Not sure I have much confidence in either of these pollsters. However I do believe that Markey has a narrow edge over Musgrave – probably close to the margin of error.
I assume that the Musgrave folks think so as well given the recent attack ads. They must know that they are plateaued and need to move the needle.
Curious whether the Musgrave endorsement by the Chieftain will have an effect.
Marilyn’s district and the endorsement can’t hurt. But that’s her turf anyway. More than 80 percent of the voters live in the Larimer, Weld and North Boulder county sections and that is where the real battle is — though the largely conservative eastern plains usually provide her margin of victory. Pols is right, however, in saying this will be a dustup, even Guy Short admits that.
The Dick Wadhams of CD4.
I also think Betsy’s ahead right now, but I think election night is going to be a nail biter. Probably will go to whoever fights hardest to the last second.
But if Betsy’s team can fight back effectively and start pounding MM hard – then I think she has it.
Agreed….maybe even closer than the Feeley/Both Ways finish in ’02!
attracting and registering new voters won’t hurt Betsy either.
is also going to be much more aggressive and organized this election
Did you see Middle’s post about Obama going into Estes Park? I assume that means many other mid-size towns have their own teams. Television, McCain style, can’t register young voters and turn them on the way a ground war can. And when they poll “most likely voters” they never see the ones Obama is bringing to the table. And if they turn out for Obama, they will help other Ds in the process.
…on the editorial side. On the news side, they/it sometimes impresses me…..yes, lil’ol’bitchy me!
After her first election it has been Weld County and the East Plains that have sustained Congressman Musgrave and her support in Weld County will be the key for her. Two years ago, her majorities in Weld County began to slip and if that continues this year, Betsy Markey will be going to Washington.
Republicans are going to have to understand that socially moderate positions, along with true fiscal conservatism and smaller yet efficient government, is the only way forward that is sustainable for the party.
Too much of the “social conservative” agenda damages the party and the agenda is misunderstood by the general public anyway. I have nothing against people who want to fight for the rights of the unborn; in fact, I consider it a noble cause. But the “true conservative” values freedom from government intervention so the issue should be addressed as much as possible through the private sector.
Trying to pass legislation to prevent gay people from getting ‘married’ is hardly worth getting kicked out of office for. Too many voters just don’t care. Gays adopting children is another matter, and that is the provenance of the government at either the Federal or state level, but a simple marriage that is only affecting two people just doesn’t qualify as a national emergency. The “true conservative” would just say live and let live.
were more responsible for the children they produced, gay adoption wouldn’t be an issue now would it?
I mean, if you had two incredibly irresponsible (and rather confused) gay people, you might wind up with some kids from the equation, but you would probably need a Pride Parade, heavy fog, and a good deal of drugs to pull it off.
(Actually, now that I am thinking about it, that starts to seem less far fetched.)
…is that too far-fetched for you?
One would be automatically, legally, the father.
…”gay adoption” is what we were talking about, if you’re following.