President (To Win Colorado)
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(D) Kamala Harris
(R) Donald Trump
80%↑
20%
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
(R) V. Archuleta
98%
2%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
(R) Marshall Dawson
95%
5%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(R) Jeff Hurd
(D) Adam Frisch
52%↑
48%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert
(D) Trisha Calvarese
90%
10%
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Jeff Crank
(D) River Gassen
80%
20%
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
(R) John Fabbricatore
90%
10%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) B. Pettersen
(R) Sergei Matveyuk
90%
10%
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(D) Yadira Caraveo
(R) Gabe Evans
52%↑
48%↓
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
November 01, 2005 09:00 AM UTC
18 Comments
And, if this is true, what does it mean?
There are different ways you can look at it, really. Low turnout overall was thought by some to be beneficial to the YES campaign, but low turnout in traditionally Democratic areas like Pueblo and Denver probably doesn’t bode well.
Turn out is very heavy in Republican-dominated Mesa County. Since Pueblo usually counterbalances GJ (thus John Salazar’s victory), that probably means it gets beat in the 3rd (assuming this info about Pueblo turnout is accurate).
Low turnout in Denver is definitely a problem for Yes, however, low turnout in Pueblo probably is not. It is very likely that Pueblo was going to vote no (as will Adams, probably), though not by much.
Yes needs to carry Denver in excess of 65% to have any hope of winning state-wide.
Gee so if I was planning on getting off work early to have enough time to make my way on our crumbling roads to vote yes on C and D then I should just forget about it…is that the idea?
And why would the No on C and D “campaign” want the voters to do that?
Exercise your right to vote and go vote for pete’s sake.
If you are a high performing Democrat in Pueblo, expect some phone calls tonight before 7 — like a hundred.
It’s a valid point. It’s still pretty early for working people. Which NO on C and D camp is this person from, if I may ask?
So, let me get this straight. The vote no people contacted ColoradoPols and told you guys that turnout was “very low” in Pueblo and Colorado. Why would they possibly do that?
I don’t buy it and you shouldn’t either.
Over 50% in Mesa County…
http://www.gjsentinel.com/news/content/news/stories/2005/11/01/turnout_for_web.html
Are you all making any efforts to confirm or deny the reports from the No camp since you seem to be the only place to get information?
One thing folks are missing here are the demographics of the Yes voters and the No voters, per polling. They don’t break down into traditional Dem/Repub areas. Poorer, less educated folks are more likely to be No voters; more wealthy, more educated voters are more likely to be Yes voters (this is why Yes was polling better than expected in Colorado Springs, but lower than expected on the Eastern Plains). A low turnout in Pueblo might not be all that bad for the Yes campaign.
Gary Harmon’s story in the Sentinel (voting tops 50%) indicated that 1700+ ballots had been turned in, I am assuming there had been earlier voting that would get Mesa to the 50% level, otherwise there are very many voters in Mesa county.
Also, as I stated earlier (and agree with SoCoDem) that a low turnout in Pueblo could be positive for Yes. It is also possible that a high turnout in Grand Junction could also be a positive. Mesa State College will be significantly impacted by a No vote, and the business community over there and others concerned about the West slope’s economic future might be voting yes.
I think the most important figure in this post is in El Paso. If the Republican base isn’t turning out, that’s bad news for C&D opponents.
But the El Paso precincts seems busy, and there are a lot of folks out doing honk and waves and the party down here is making calls. I wouldn’t be surprised if the numbers pick up a lot over the next few hours.
I don’t think we should speculate on El Paso without the context of knowing where Denver turnout is at. I’m guessing they pace each other. I’ll bet it comes down to the ol’ reliable unaffiliated voters in the suburbs to decide the outcome: Jeffco and Arapahoe, where no doubt the vote is close.
I don’t know what these numbers numbers
My sources in the Yes camp are very upbeat. Soon, we can stop speculating and start counting.
Win or lose, the Yes camp fought their heart out to give the next generation of Coloradans the same opportunities I had. Good bless them for fighting the good fight.
I’ll note for the record that the rumors from the no camp don’t in hindsight seem very close to the mark.