U.S. Senate
See Full Big Line
(D) J. Hickenlooper*
(R) Somebody
80%
20%
Governor
See Full Big Line
(D) Michael Bennet
(D) Phil Weiser
60%↑
50%↓
Att. General
See Full Big Line
(D) M. Dougherty
(D) Jena Griswold
(D) David Seligman
40%
40%
30%
Sec. of State
See Full Big Line
(D) A. Gonzalez
(D) J. Danielson
(R) Sheri Davis
50%
40%
30%
State Treasurer
See Full Big Line
(D) Brianna Titone
(D) Jeff Bridges
(R) Kevin Grantham
40%
40%
30%
CO-01 (Denver)
See Full Big Line
(D) Diana DeGette*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
See Full Big Line
(D) Joe Neguse*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
See Full Big Line
(R) Jeff Hurd*
(D) Somebody
80%
40%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
See Full Big Line
(R) Lauren Boebert*
(D) Trisha Calvarese
(D) Eileen Laubacher
90%
20%
20%
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
See Full Big Line
(R) Jeff Crank*
(D) Somebody
80%
20%
CO-06 (Aurora)
See Full Big Line
(D) Jason Crow*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
See Full Big Line
(D) B. Pettersen*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
See Full Big Line
(R) Gabe Evans*
(D) Manny Rutinel
(D) Yadira Caraveo
45%↓
40%↑
30%
State Senate Majority
See Full Big Line
DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
See Full Big Line
DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
February 10, 2008 01:45 AM UTC
33 Comments
that McCain is the annointed winner and it’s all over.
That’s right – Nebraska. Yes we have to work our tails off in the general election but do you get the feeling this could be one of the biggest blow-outs ever? Nebraska!
From Talking Points Memo
(the blog for The Stranger, a Seattle alt weekly) and all their reports were of massively overflowing caucus halls (they have a primary and a caucus, with the caucus settling the actual issue of delegates). I guess we’ll be able to credit Bush with really energizing the electorate, if for nothing else.
Washington: Obama 67%, Clinton 32% – 66% reporting.
Nebraska: Obama 68%, Clinton 32% – 85% reporting.
These numbers have been holding steady over the past 20% or so.
Louisiana is just beginning to report numbers; 0% in so far, so not much to go on yet. Reports of lots of Democrats being re-registered as Independent without their doing so and being denied the right to vote because of it; could make things interesting…
Looks like Huck might win. Does it matter…of course not. But it makes for some fun statistical wonkery before I go out tonight.
A quick calculation through most of the CNN Exit questions shows Huck trending about 2.2% ahead of McCain.
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/20…
And of course, if all goes as expected, Obama should win on the Dem side. He’s dominating if you look at the exits on that side.
If Huckabee takes Washington (too close to say so far) then he has a clean sweep tonight and I think that puts the Republican nomination clearly back into play.
Yes McCain has more delegates – but not enough to win (yet). And a clean sweep for Huckabee gives him a lot of momentum to go after more states. And on the Republican side they are mostly winner take all so he gets all the votes in these states, and others moving forward.
What happens now on the Repub side?
Not enough to win the nomination, but he’s clearly the rising trend and Clinton is the falling one. Watch the Dems now start to fall in fully behind Obama, including a clear majority of the super-delegates.
It’s not over yet, but we may be in the end game.
Not in the end game — yet.
Obama has momentum now, but what happens in Ohio and Texas on Mar 4 remains to be seen.
From Politico we have:
details here… looks like hanging on to his house seat is job #1.
.
who is left for Goldwater Conservatives and supporters of the US Constitution to vote for ?
.
Obama versus a weakened McCain would be a very nice matchup.
Would be a dream!
Ok, say McCain gets the nomination, and Huckabee is likely his VP. If McCain wins the general election he has 8 years and then Huckabee the next 8. Romney’s political chances are over.
Now say McCain loses the general election. Again, Romney’s chances in 4 years still suck. The base still won’t like him and the talking heads will want some new flavor.
But, say Huckabee offers him the VP slot for his delegates? Suddenly Huckabee/Romney is tied with McCain in delegates and has the momentum. And Romney is poised to take the presidency in 8 years.
I think he would swallow his pride for that…
Looks like McCain is pulling (barely) ahead in Washington.
Everyone, don’t forget that Washington allots 1/3 of its Republican delegates on the 19th in a primary. So the winner of tonight’s contest gets only 2/3 of the available delegates on the GOP side. I’d ask who thought of this weird rule, but according to a knowledgeable source on dKos, it originated as an attempt to thwart Pat Robertson when he was running…
We want the Repubs confused again.
But I don’t think Romney would accept and I think Huckabee hated Romney too much for him to consider working with Romney.
Louisiana rules say that a candidate must break 50% in order to get any delegates; neither Huckabeee nor McCain broke 50% (they’re currently neck-and-neck at 43% each, Triplewide ahead by about 1000 votes…) with 96% counted.
I don’t know if they have a run-off, or if this means all of the delegates are selected at the state’s GOP Convention, but no love for anyone tonight on the GOP side.
That the primary rules make absolutely no sense. This has to be the most bizare of the lot…
Even in general elections: They use Nov general elections as a form of primary, but list all candidates on one ballot regardless of party. If a candidate get a majority, they are elected, if not the top two have a ren-off in early Dec. It is not uncommon to have two of the same party in the run-off.
Obama won a higher percentage in the two “white” states than he did in LA. The concept that Obama’s strength is built just on the African-American vote seems to be a crock.
I thought it was a primary vs caucus thing. Obama supporters are slightly more energized and so that can translate into blowout wins in caucus states while okay wins in primary states or a loss. I think the real test of if Obama is trending to a win or not is in Virgina. It is a nice mix of a state somewhat like Missouri and it is a closed primary IIRC.
DC is assuredly a pickup for Obama. If he loses in Maryland’s open primary even as a supporter I’d question if he can get to a win.
He should win, but the margin matters.
If he wins big and he keeps hinting he’s going to put a virginian on the ticket, this state could be in play for the general.
That would be a huge blow for the GOP and could convince the Supers to come around.
Take that Maccaca Allen.
Obama’s campaign has a really effective ground game for caucus states. He is winning them about 67-33%. They are less effective in primary states thus the more narrow win in LA. In southern primary states with 40+% of voters being AA he wins that demographic with 80+% of the vote. Clinton was closer in LA because she won a significantly higher % of the white vote.
Obama should be favored to win Maryland, DC and Virginia. A Clinton win in any of those would be an upset. Maine is a toss up that Clinton might win even though it is a caucus state.
Obama doesn’t gain much momentum out of today because he was expected to win. He also gained only about 37 delegates net for the day. If he wins the rest of the Feb. contests by expected margins he and Hillary will be pretty much tied for delegates. Then we roll into Texas, Ohio and Penn.
Looks like the primary system worked pretty well this time around. And Iowa and NH in the full picture become meaningless. So we might be able to do even better next time around.
is the “more narrow win” in LA.
But he did so with a pathetic 26% of the vote. He was only 10 points ahead of Romney, who had dropped out. I don’t think McCain is getting any love…
I don’t know any other way to put it. He’s cast himself as the maverick in the Republican play for so long, the audience won’t accept him in the role of model conservative. He seems to be having a hard time convincing the conservative base that he’s their man when they also have Huckabee around.
Is reporting that The Huckster has sent Lawyers Guns and Money to Washington to dispute the contest. Seems the chair called it at 82% and did not wait for the full tally. I am sure it was just past his nap time and he was getting cranky at how long it was taking!
This is getting so boooooring, yawn, yet another Obama win.
He really is winning it race after race…
59% reporting
Obama 1,305 57%
Clinton 956 42%
Uncommitted 16 1%
Patty Solis Doyle has decided to step aside and let someone else steer the Clinton campaign ship.