U.S. Senate
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(D) J. Hickenlooper*
(R) Somebody
80%
20%
Governor
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(D) Michael Bennet
(D) Phil Weiser
60%↑
50%↓
Att. General
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(D) M. Dougherty
(D) Jena Griswold
(D) David Seligman
40%
40%
30%
Sec. of State
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(D) A. Gonzalez
(D) J. Danielson
(R) Sheri Davis
50%
40%
30%
State Treasurer
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(D) Brianna Titone
(D) Jeff Bridges
(R) Kevin Grantham
40%
40%
30%
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(R) Jeff Hurd*
(D) Somebody
80%
40%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert*
(D) Trisha Calvarese
(D) Eileen Laubacher
90%
20%
20%
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Jeff Crank*
(D) Somebody
80%
20%
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) B. Pettersen*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(R) Gabe Evans*
(D) Manny Rutinel
(D) Yadira Caraveo
45%↓
40%↑
30%
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
December 20, 2007 10:03 PM UTC
6 Comments
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That Romney can effectively use Huck’s endorsement to help him regain momentum in Iowa. If Romney wins Iowa, Tank will definately get some credit for it!
Huckaby does well in IA, but craters elsewhere. Romney edges out Guiliani to become the R nominee.
Huckaby appeals to faith-based voters, which is a significant proportion of voters in IA (20-30% in IA but only about 8-13% nationally). By comparison, Romney’s Morman status is a drag on his numbers in IA due to significant anti-Morman sentiment in SE IA (there are virulent anti-Morman billboards along the Morman trail through IA to Nauvaoo, IL).
Romney appeals more to voters focused on the economy and security, about 24% and 21% of the electorate, respectively. By virtue of 9/11, Guiliani “owns” voters who are focused on security issues (21%), so Tancredo’s endorsement is probably an empty gesture.
Huckaby is stronger among voters focused on equality of opportunity (health care, education, environment, about 34% of the electorate), but that cluster of voters usually leans to the Ds and only votes for Rs if there are no acceptable D candidates.
Die-hard liberals are only about 8-9% of the electorate, and none of them will vote for any R.
Outside IA, Romney appeals to faith-based voters better than Guiliani.
There’s no “a” in Mormon. Just thought you should know 🙂
I’m excited to see how this pans out
My spelling on this was pretty awful. One of those fat-fingered cloudy brain days, I’m afraid.
I wish there was a spell check option here… 🙂
Tancredo did what he came to do and he elevated the immigration issue. I’m not sure elevated is the correct word as it implies taking the high road, but it is fair to say immigration would not be as large an issue if it wasn’t for the Tanc.
I don’t see him putting himself in a position of influence. If he runs for Senate it does nothing except help the Dems. If he jockeys for a federal position he better not seek one that requires Senate confirmation.
Regarding the debate, the rhetoric will tone down but the debate will still be as senseless as it has been. Those who scream about immigrants breaking the law sound petty and those who advocate for amnesty sound soft. So the debate will continue on in the mushy middle for the campaign.
It will be interesting to see if immigration is an issue after the primaries. I don’t think it will.