March 26, 2012 07:18 PM UTC

Poll: Who Will Win in HD-3?

•  
• by: Colorado Pols

While this year’s reapportionment process may have given Democrats a fighting chance in many districts that had previously been written off, the nature of line-drawing has also made some previously left-leaning seats that much harder to defend.

Take, for example, HD-3 Representative Daniel Kagan. While Kagan handily won in 2010 with 57% of the vote, reapportionment swapped many of his most familiar Denver doors with a large chunk of Arapahoe County, replete with large pockets of Republican voters. In fact, what was previously an easy win for Kagan has been transformed into one of the state’s most competitive house districts – Dems maintain a razor-slim lead in registration with fewer than 500 votes.

To keep his seat, then, Kagan’s going to have to appeal to the 13,000 odd unaffiliated voters in the area, no small task for one of the legislature’s most out-spoken progressives.

With just one-seat keeping Mark Ferrandino out of the speaker’s chair, Republicans view Kagan’s seat as a critical pick-up to balance out losses where reapportionment was less less than favorable. They’re fielding businessmen Brian Watson who’s framing his campaign as a solution to “politics as usual.” While it’s a rather hackneyed talking point, it may nonetheless resonate with Greenwood Village conservatives who can’t identify with Kagan’s reputation as a liberal lion.

We want to know: Who do you think will win the seat in November? As always, we want to know what you think will happen, not your preference. If you had to bet the deed to your house, who would you pick to win between Republican Brian Watson and Democrat Dan Kagan?

A poll follows.  

 Loading ...