Since every Democrat running for a state legislative seat is Denver is a shoo-in to win in November, we decided to skip ahead to the 2011 Denver City Elections.
We’re going to assume that Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper is going to be Colorado’s next governor, so we’ve taken a quick stab at the first “Mayoral Line” for 2011.
The first couple of these Lines are always difficult to gauge, especially since there is only one candidate (James Mejia) who has officially filed to run. Thus the position of a lot of these candidates is theoretical, since several may choose not to run at all. But as of today, here’s how we see the potential field shaping up for next spring.
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That’s a crowded field. I think I recognize only three or four of those names.
We’re including everyone who either might run or would be a very strong candidate if they did run.
Nevitt seems Just the sort to keep Denver running smoothly
I want another brewpub owner.
Actually, I am willing to let King John be both Mayor and Governor.
I have heard of all 12.
Way too much brain power devoted to thinking about elections and government.
further proof of my misspent youth;-(
Would it be possible to replace the Colorado flag above the mayor line with Denver’s?
Does every major city in Colorado have its own flag? Seriously — do they?
I have see flags for all of Denver’s immediatate suburbs. I don’t know about the cities further away like Grand Junction or Pueblo.
The Denver flag looks like a white M separating fields of blue and red. I assume the M is supposed to be mountains.
Yes – Denver does anyway, not sure about any other municipality. Here’s what it looks like…
I would vote for an actual 800 pound gorilla before I would vote for Chris Romer.
There are 4 people on this list who are current city council members. If they run for mayor, that opens their seats. Any conjecture on who may be lining up for those?
Chris Martinez (RTD Board) is going to run for Hancock’s seat.
I don’t know much about these candidates except for Romer and a little about Mejia because he announced.
Are there frontrunners or favorites?
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I’m not sure if y’all spend much time in HD-3, but anyone here paying attention to literature, mailers, and yardsigns would have to concede that Mastin is the favorite at this point.
I love Dan Kagan, but he’s never run a campaign before and I think he’s been outdone. Is there something I’m missing?
Kagan is a great campaigner. While Mastin will likely do very well in the ArapCo portion of the district, don’t forget that 2/3 of the district is in Denver and that portion is predominantly Dem.
The voter registration numbers favor Dems by about 5,000. That’s a big margin in an HD.
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Finegan – Do we have to drag out the Lawyer/Lobbyist brand all over again? Let’s first find out how many City of Denver checks have been made out to Cole and his firms throughout the years. He’s not as clean as some would like to think. He’ll definitely be the guy who has access to funding.
Mitch – Pretty low profile for a law-and-order DA, no? We willing to hire a DA in this seat or replace Hick with someone who is serious about stopping the Denver Police from beating on its citizens?
Mejia – James who? The great unknown. Pissed a few people off by announcing before Hick’s campaign was over. According to his website, he’s worked for Webb and Hick and claims to know the City.
Hancock – Like other City Council members, has been a do-nothing rubber stamp for the past 8 years. Again, why the low profile if you are running for Mayor? No City Council member has EVER been elected Mayor.
Romer – Let the fun begin. The Ari Zavaris of 2011! He’s even pulling that campaign staff together again including Paul Sandoval! What secrets does he have? He’ll beg Hick for his endorsement but implode before February. He’ll also have to explain his role (and his profit) in that sweetheart DPS financial deal he and his firm cut with Michael Bennet. Much like he had to explain to a Grand Jury in Albuquerque his role in Gov. Richardson’s problems – which led to his termination as an investment banker.
Bogion – It won’t be a lack of votes that causes her to lose, it will be her lack of personality.
Linkhart/Nevitt – Yeah – two guys a little left of Che Guevera is what Denver needs. Linkhart wants to beat up on the police while letting the bad guys out of jail to save the City money. Yeah – great campaign strategy Doug. Nevitt wants to unionize high school students.
Isenberg – Good guy with great ties to the biz/nonprofit community. He’s also enjoyed some questionable sweetheart deals compliments of the taxpayers through DURA. His wife is a little nutty to boot.
Pen Tate – Oh no you din’t! Word is he told his wife he was leaving for a gallon of milk, but in reality, he just left….!
Though I don’t think everyone on your list will run. Finegan is hardly a given to get in and neither is Morrissey.
I’d also suggest that much of what you list as “problems” are Inside Baseball. It will be interesting to see who emerges as a front runner in November and December. Hancock has supposedly been raising money and Boigan has been a consistent self-funder. Mejia is working hard but hasn’t netted big dollars (that I know of) or endorsements despite his calculation to get in early.
Romer doesn’t have much COH and can’t raise any money right now because you can’t transfer funds from a state campaign to a city campaign (vice versa is allowed though, go figure…). That said, he’s likely to emerge as an early leader along with Hancock and likely Boigan. As you pointed out though, both face significant challenges regarding ID and credentials.
We’ll see if Romer can keep control of his message – if he can he’ll have a good shot. He certainly has a serious circle of advisers, paid and informal. He also has the relationships and name ID that will help with fundraising, garnering endorsements and gaining support from average citizens.
Some may not like it, but an objective observer would put their money on Romer right now.
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You can’t transfer city campaign funds to a state campaign but you can transfer state campaign funds to the city campaign.
Ray Rivera (former Obama manager in Colorado)is looking at running Romer’s campaign. Hopefully he’s vetted Romer as to not ruin his reputation on this ethically and morally corrupt son of Roy. Yeah, its a family thing. Romer’s invited a special “VIP” list to meet with him at the Dem’s election-night party so everyone can tell him how amazing he is. Line on Romer is all the special interests are being promised the world if they help him.
Hancock has Evan Dreyer (former Post editor and most despised Press Secretary at the State Capitol, like, uhm, ever?) and other Ritter folks lined up and we all know what a terrific job they did to make Ritter look so good. Not. He’s also got lobbyist David Cole and crew working for him and trying to keep their palms greased at City Hall. Hancock would do better to speak to someone who won a REAL election like a Mike Dino or David Kenny.
Linkhart is doing a silly campaign event the day after the election at Curtis Park. Good luck with that. The media’s gonna be REAL interested, after they chase down the winners/losers of the election from the day before. In other words, its amateur hour at the Linkhart HQ.
I think you have underestimated three of the canditates potential to get into the runoff for mayor. Doug Linkart has the best name recogniton, and a lot of support from his past service to the city. Carol Boigon is the only woman running, and can raise a ton of money, also very knowledgable. Buzz Geller will pick up the Republic endorsement. There are 50,000 registered Republicans in Denver.
The list is now very outdated.
Finegan is out.
Morrissey was never running.
Linkhart has announced.
Tate is out.
Check out Dan-Willis.com for the latest.
I keep updating it as I hear new info.
You need to at least add Mejia, who has already declared and is already raising money and has a formal campaign machine in place. Word is Webb is in his camp….at least that’s what Webb is saying.
You should also add Isenberg…he’s out talking like a candidate and still making phone calls. I received one of them.
Romer already has his Mayoral campaign website up and running, at least in the fund raising sense.
You also don’t have any of the names of candidates for those council seats…too long to mention right now, but some really good folks – including a long list of at-large wannabes.
Up to 15 candidates/potential candidates for mayor. I have what info for City Council I know of. I always welcome new info: dan@dan-willis.com