U.S. Senate
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(D) J. Hickenlooper*
(R) Somebody
80%
20%
Governor
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(D) Joe Neguse
(D) Phil Weiser
(D) Jena Griswold
60%
60%
40%↓
Att. General
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(D) M. Dougherty
(D) Alexis King
(D) Brian Mason
40%
40%
30%
Sec. of State
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(D) George Stern
(D) A. Gonzalez
(R) Sheri Davis
40%
40%
30%
State Treasurer
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(D) Brianna Titone
(R) Kevin Grantham
(D) Jerry DiTullio
60%
30%
20%
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(R) Jeff Hurd*
(D) Somebody
80%
40%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert*
(D) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Jeff Crank*
(D) Somebody
80%
20%
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) B. Pettersen*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(R) Gabe Evans*
(D) Yadira Caraveo
(D) Joe Salazar
50%
40%
40%
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
December 30, 2005 09:00 AM UTC
27 Comments
Does this mean that CD 5 is in play or is it a strong R seat?
CO-5 is probably the Republican’s strongest seat here in Colorado, though CO-6 isn’t too terribly far behind.
Democratic candidate Jay Fawcett has a severely uphill battle to win Hefley’s seat, but it’s a much easier battle with Hefley out, IMHO. If Fawcett does all he needs to do, and the GOP comes out with the wrong candidate, it’s not out of the realm of possibility that the seat switches, but it’s definitely the GOP’s seat to lose.
CD5 is solidly R
184,00+ R’s
87,000 D’s
126,000+ I’s
Thanks for the numbers. Pretty New here to CO.
How do the I’s usually vote?
Good to see that republicans are going to have to spend some money on this race!
John Hickenlooper is not going to run.
Get over it.
Democrats who want to win.
Ritter cannot win.
Democrats who want to defend a woman’s right to choose. Bill Ritter does not even want to give contraceptive information to rape victims.
Democrats need to find a real candidate not a wet dream.
How about
Andrew Romanoff. Simply put a leader
David Skaggs. Has the Mark Udall lack of balls problem but he could win.
Ed Perlmutter. End the blood letting in CD 7 and stay in Colorado.
John Hickenlooper is not going to run.
Get over it.
Democrats who want to win.
Ritter cannot win.
Democrats who want to defend a woman’s right to choose. Bill Ritter does not even want to give contraceptive information to rape victims.
Democrats need to find a real candidate not a wet dream.
How about
Andrew Romanoff. Simply put a leader
David Skaggs. Has the Mark Udall lack of balls problem but he could win.
Ed Perlmutter. End the blood letting in CD 7 and stay in Colorado.
The I’s in CO-5 split towards the D side, but still leave the R’s with a usual 60-65 point vote total, IIRC.
For those recent arrivals, this is the district of NORTHCOM, Space Command and the Air Force Academy, as well as the New Life Church and Focus on the Family. Those usually conservative forces are offset somewhat by a tech and communications industry base.
Oh PR you wax so brilliantly…
Actually, I think ColoradoPols is wrong…again!
every down here is a twitter… we haven’t had a cd race in decades, and this primary will certainly help the party – in the long run. Lamborn and Crank are both credible and will make great candidates. he-haw… let the games begin.
Hold on to your hats folks, this could get interesting! I dont think that Hefley will announce for a while longer, but this should be a fun one to watch! Do you suppose that Crank and Lamborn exchanged Christmas cards this year???
First you guys have the inside scoop that he is retiring. Then you have the inside scoop that he’s not. Now you have the inside scoop that he is retiring once again. And, on top of that, you guys are taking credit for breaking the news first. How very pathetic!
Lamborn will receive the endorsement of Focus on the Family and all of the religious groups in Colorado Springs. Unfortunately for all of the other candidates, these people make up the delegates of the El Paso County Republican party. Lamborn is already boasting about these endorsements.
Joshua is slow on the uptake. And Joel is stepping down. Period.
Would Lamborn really get the endorsement of Focus on the Family if Haggard ran? Just curious.
Also, has Doug Bruce made any noise about running?
No. Doug is not running. And Haggard seems to have another calling (though I suspect he’ll be involved in the election of ’06 in some way.) Williams will endorse Lamborn, and the race will probably whittle down to a three-way out of Assembly.
I doubt that fewer than 3 (and maybe more) viable candidates will be aligned with the ideology of Focus. Because of this, I would not expect that Focus will support anyone until the bloodshed of the primary is over. Remember that Focus is a national entity and is probably not going to expend too much capital unless there is a lot at stake. I find it hard to believe that Focus would be willing to piss off anyone in El Paso County by endorsing (officially or unofficially) Lamborn against Crank or Andersen.
Does anyone expect that Hefley is going to make an announcement, or is going to string everyone along for as long as possible to try to give Crank an edge? I think if he waits until the caucuses to announce, Crank will be a shoe in at the assembly and everyone else will petition. That being said, it could really bite Crank if two or three conservatives then petition onto the primary and split his vote?
Is that 100% for sure that Douglas Bruce isn’t going to run? I would think that he might give it serious thought due to the fact that this probably the last chance he’ll ever get to run for congress.
Haggard has said he won’t run if he sees someone else in the race that meets his idea of a good candidate. I’m assuming that *someone* in this race will meet his expectations, and he won’t step in.
As other notables have stated: FotF types make up the delegates to El Paso County’s GOP. Unless Crank pulls through with some help from Hefley, what are the chances we wind up with Lamborn or someone to his Right, and what then are the chances that a Dem with a strong local military record can beat out-race the Religious Right?
I checked the WHOIS database a few days ago and douglamborn.com was still available–couldn’t believe it. Jeff Crank bought jeffcrank.com several months ago.
Just checked whois.com and DougLamborn.com was bought by a guy named Steve Stillman. Any idea on who he is?
Here’s hoping Doug wins in 06.
That must have been a recent purchase, because it was available when I checked when this thread was started.
I hope that person is with Lamborn. I wanted to email Sen. Lamborn when I saw that the site was available (and that he NEEDED to invest the ten bucks to reserve it), but could not find a personal email address–just his state senate address. I wasn’t sure if he was allowed to conduct campaign business on his state senate email account so I didn’t send it.
I think Lamborn is the best man for the job.
Phoenix,
I?m not sure who is farther to the right, Crank or Lamborn; and I?m not sure who would challenge either from their right. It?s an interesting question though because the most conservative candidate will play very well with the assembly. But I think that if Hefley waits beyond the middle of February, candidates other than Crank and Lamborn (including Haggard, Andersen, Rivera, and Bruce), will strongly consider the petition rout to avoid an embarrassment at the assembly.
Now of those people listed above, I am not sure that any (except possibly Bruce) have much in the way of issues that could be identified as their own. Furthermore I don?t think any were military or have much connection to military, and I cant think of anything that any of them stand out on except for Bruce being vehemently anti government. The biggest qualification that each one has other than being conservative is that they all badly want to be in Congress. What I am getting at is that if these Republicans bloody themselves too badly in the primary and Fawcett can get his hands around the military community here and pretend to be as conservative as possible, there is an outside chance that this could be a real race in the general election.
On another note, I think this will largely come out to a money race in the primary. Who do you think can really raise the most money?
I don’t think it will come down to money in the primary, because no single candidate is really in a position to dramatically out-fundraise the others. I think the fundraising reports will be pretty consistant between the top contenders.
I think it will come down to the candidate’s record, values, and relationships with voters.
Maybe Hefley won’t even retire. I think that is more likely than anything else!!
Back to my earlier post, I don?t see what any of them offer to differentiate from the others. Bruce is the only one that stands out, and not for any good reasons! I think that on values, record, and relationship with the voters (primary voters), there is not a single one who is above the other right now. As a result, if any of them can spend a lot of money somehow, I think that person will emerge as the leader out of the primary.
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