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December 31, 2006 06:30 PM UTC

"Teflon" Mayor Hickenlooper Survives Star-Crossed 2006

  • 18 Comments
  • by: Colorado Pols

Denver Post flamethrower Karen Crummy dutifully reports on a new poll this morning indicating rumors of a groundswell of criticism against Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper have been exaggerated.

Denver residents overwhelmingly approve of Mayor John Hickenlooper’s job performance, and most don’t hold him responsible for the snowpacked condition of city streets, a poll conducted for The Denver Post shows.

While 77 percent of those polled said their streets had not been plowed to their satisfaction, only 21 percent blamed the mayor for snowplowing delays.

Denverites also don’t think the mayor is responsible for the botched November midterm election and would replace the Denver Election Commission with a single elected clerk if they were voting today.

“For any political figure to come through six tough weeks and two major events – the election debacle and a significant blizzard – and still have approval numbers starting with a 7 and little blame attributed to him, is, from a political perspective, impressive,” said political consultant Eric Sondermann.

It certainly is — Hickenlooper got hit with serious challenges this year. But in conversations we’ve had this week, we’ve found that the people blaming Hickenlooper are the people generally disposed towards grumbling anyway or don’t really understand how the city works, and most people love the guy despite it all.

If the three-year Hickenlooper “honeymoon” is over, perhaps what we’re seeing here is the make-up sex after his first fight. You can bet that the groomers hoping to see Hickenlooper trade in his existing title for a better one (like “Senator”) are consulting their Kama Sutras on his behalf. Nice and slow, boys, and remember not to bury her face in your armpit. Really, that’s a problem with tall men.

The old saying “whatever doesn’t kill you, makes you stronger” is also true in politics. If Hickenlooper presides over successfully reforming Denver’s election system (noting that it’s not so much in his hands these days), and we get back to our usual pattern of not having blizzards once a week, he’ll be fine–with some useful experience to show for his trouble. In fact, his ongoing viability may become as important a story in future years as Bob Beauprez’s disintegration was in 2006.

Comments

18 thoughts on ““Teflon” Mayor Hickenlooper Survives Star-Crossed 2006

        1. LOL!  Everyone anticipates his/her chant: “Gallagher will give Hick a run for his money…What about the poor people…I’m a very good driver…Yeah…”

          ‘Flamethrower’ is about the kindest word I could think of to describe the aptly-named Crummy, BTW.

    1. people which is about, oh, .001% of the population of Denver. Now, that’s a poll that means something significant! What? I don’t know. But, I’m sure it means something to somebody.

      1. You dont poll an entire populace. You take a small sample and extrapolate. This isnt some Zogby interactive poll, this is a regular poll. Look at the MOE to determine the validity.

      2. I’d actually have expected a sample far smaller than that for something that, frankly, doesn’t matter at all.  (Yes, I did just say that.)  The goal is NOT to poll a significant percentage of the population.  In fact, the math behind margins of error all assumes an infinite population, as a simplification.

        The one assumption that’s made is that the sample wasn’t chosen in a biased way.  For example, if the poll was taken at a mall on Friday morning, then you’d only be polling people who weren’t much affected by the snow and that would invalidate the poll; but I don’t think that’s the case.  If you have some reason to believe the sample was biased, then please let us know.  The size is fine, though.  Even if the real numbers are off by 2 or 3 percent, it still indicates no groundswell of frustration.

        1. Is that the poll was not just registered voters. According to the article, of the 625 polled, only 522 were voters. That means 17% of the responses would never affect an election outcome.

          Furthermore, there apparently was no determination if those 522 voters were “likely voters” or merely registered voters. As we see from turn out results in every election there is a significant numnber of registered voters who generally don’t vote with any consistency.

          While the poll may an ok baromenter of overall support for the Mayor, I would not look at its numbers with any kind of “campaign-minded” scrutiny.

          1. in addition to “voters” and “likely voter.” When polling in Denver they need a 3rd category of “die hard voter” consisting of only those prepared to spend 6+ hrs. in line waiting to vote.

  1. I am not a Denver resident, so this is based on observations from afar.

    I think that Hickenlooper has dodged the bullets so far, because he seems to be listening and taking people’s gripes seriously.  It seemed liked he cared that voting went badly and the side streets weren’t plowed – that he wanted to fix the problems for next time.  That’s what people want most.

    Now, if voting is a disaster again, or another storm hits and nothing seems to have changed, empathy and concern may not be enough.

    1.   The second snow storm (I hesitate to call it one, when compared to the 12/21 dump) may have been a blessing for Hick.  First, it wasn’t nearly as bad and the 12/21 blizzard.  But more importantly, it showed a change in the mayor’s handling of the clean up. Not repeating the same mistakes is a sign of competence and growth. 
        I thought I saw an S.I.B. posting, complaining over the fact that there were no sleds and chocolate for the kids this time.  That sounds like Hick has the snow problem under control.
        Correcting the election problem will be a little more difficult because of the calendar involved.  Changing the process before the muni election does not allow enough time and will be a mess (fortunately, none of the races look to be contested, so that should make things easier). 
        However, waiting until after the muni election means the new system (whatever it ends up being) won’t be in place until just before the ’08 election, and that could be dicey, esp. if Colorado is in play at the national level.

    1. Last year, she ran a rash of articles attacking various departments of the city government which included a wide variety of factual errors. She got slammed for both the heavy editorializiing she did in her articles as well as appearing to not know what she was talking about due to all of the mistakes.

  2. the Pols be, today. Ironic that it’s Crummy again who gets your juices flowing.

    Even suggesting Gallagher has a chance against the Hick, is ludicrous. The Hick will win a second term.

    If he doesn’t, what the hell are we–Gloomy Gusses, that we are–going to be, um, gloomy about for the next four+ years?

     

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