It’s that time again to ask readers of Colorado Pols about what’s going to happen when the votes are tallied.
(Here’s Poll #1, Poll #2, Poll #3, and Poll #4)
As we’ve noted many times, our readers have been oddly accurate in predicting outcomes over the years; while these polls are completely unscientific, we think the results are still relevant. By posting a new poll every week, we can also track how perceptions might be shifting. Next week we’ll break down a month’s worth of these questions to see what might have shifted.
As always, we want to know WHAT YOU THINK WILL HAPPEN, not who you support or whom you might prefer on a given question. Think of it like placing a bet; if you were going to bet everything you own on one outcome, which would you choose?
Let’s start numerically in CO-03, where Democrat Adam Frisch (left) is battling Republican Jeff “Bread Sandwich” Hurd for the open seat being vacated by Rep. Lauren Boebert’s magic carpetbagging ride to CO-04.
Now let’s head over to CO-08, where incumbent Democratic Rep. Yadira Caraveo is trying to hold off Republican Gabe-ish Evans.
We’ll keep track of these results and conduct a new poll every week until Election Day.
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Caraveo in a squeaker. Hurd by more than 2%
Funny that we’re just the opposite. Caraveo’s team hasn’t had an effective answer to the fake cops spreading hatred in Evans’ ads. But Trump’s rally debacle in New York City may help. For CD 3, I’m seeing Frisch by a couple thousand votes because he has much more visibility in the District..
The only things she did in Congress were on expanding the drugs war and crime. Her ads are her walking with the Adams county Sheriff. I mean at this point it's a you issue. Crime is low and continues to drop, fentanyl has a lower death rate than alcohol… I mean what are you afraid of?
The real cops in CD8 are pretty good at spreading hatred, too. Including ex-cop Gabe Evans. Cops do not make good thoughtful legislators. They aren't generally thinkers. Hurd gets the nod because he's not Boebert and Frisch's performance in 2022 was in large part an anti-Boebert statement. I hope I'm wrong. I think Caraveo ekes out a win, though it definitely could go either way. Regardless, Gabe Evans is a true POS.
Evans campaign was all over dumb having him physically in places he can't get votes. His Nazi campaign manager was every bit an amateur. His only hope is that people were turned on by that twelve minute speech trump had talking about a dead man's dick.
Still avoiding discussion of CD4, I see. Calvarese outraised Boebert by 5-1 and Boebert's disapproval is like 60%. ( only 29% approve of her job handling) ….but Pols stays silent, because conventional ( i.e. Jason and Ian's) wisdom is that A Dem Can't Win in CD4.
What is the polling in CD4 saying? It's a very heavy lift for any D, regardless of how reviled Boebert is
Last poll by Keating Research had Bobo at 46 % and Calvarese at 36 % but that was way back in April.
Calvarese's internal poll ( by Keating, I'm inferring, since he is commenting on the internal poll) showed her beating Boebert by 11 points, after voters were read statements about Bobo's anti-abortion stance.
We are all justifiably skeptical of internal polls ( Remember when Hick steamrolled an entire Democratic primary slate by claiming a 68% lead – but he wouldn't fess up that it was an internal, friendly poll, and Pols and the Denver Post both ran it uncritically as straight news). Calvarese is at least transparent about it being an internal poll commissioned by her campaign.
I'll believe it if and when it happens. I hope it does, but wouldn't bet on it.
It is going to be a good year for Democrats once again in Colorado.
And, yes, Polis is turning into a whimp — he should be out campiagning for Calvarese.
Neither candidate has any real dynamic other than the use of tropes and derivative political rhetoric. Oh, she's the strong, tough doctor who will "fight for my rights as a woman" and throw up empty bargains with Medicare and abortion rights while he's a brain dead MAGA lackey clone who runs on fear and blind ignorance that the more stupid you are, the more smarter he will become. Walking with cops would love to beat the snot out of the homeless in this city, have a natural disdain for brown skinned immigrants and would rather shoot you than help you is insane. So the both of them are running on stereotypes that living in a police state somehow makes you free and them so American is ridiculous. The both of them are in for the power and easy money that comes with it.
Nope
Sorry, Marla, I'm not buying your "There's no difference between these two candidates" rhetoric. That works pretty well to suppress votes, though…is that your intention?
There are an awful lot of people reliant on the "empty bargains with Medicare " — Caraveo working to keep it intact versus Evans being a "we need to rein in entitlements" generalist is a clear choice.