U.S. Senate
See Full Big Line
(D) J. Hickenlooper*
(R) Somebody
80%
20%
Governor
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(D) Phil Weiser
(D) Joe Neguse
(D) Jena Griswold
60%
60%
40%↓
Att. General
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(D) M. Dougherty
(D) Alexis King
(D) Brian Mason
40%
40%
30%
Sec. of State
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(D) A. Gonzalez
(D) George Stern
(R) Sheri Davis
50%↑
40%
30%
State Treasurer
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(D) Brianna Titone
(R) Kevin Grantham
(D) Jerry DiTullio
60%
30%
20%
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(R) Jeff Hurd*
(D) Somebody
80%
40%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
See Full Big Line
(R) Lauren Boebert*
(D) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
See Full Big Line
(R) Jeff Crank*
(D) Somebody
80%
20%
CO-06 (Aurora)
See Full Big Line
(D) Jason Crow*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) B. Pettersen*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(R) Gabe Evans*
(D) Yadira Caraveo
(D) Joe Salazar
50%
40%
40%
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
See Full Big Line
DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
August 28, 2012 11:53 PM UTC
12 Comments
Seriously, do you guys just not get how odds and prbability and stuff work?
Why do you even bother to update – you only make it worse.
I mean just look at the thing or that other thing! Crazy
Assuming that you do know odds and probability and how stuff works, how would you handicap these races so that the odds make sense?
hey, I looked up ninjas on thesaurus.com.
It said ninjas cannot be found.
Well played, ninjas. Well played.
… unlike “Cory Gardner is 1-3 and Brandon Shaffer is 3-1,” which is kind of like saying “Cory Gardner is 71% and Brandon Shaffer is 17%”
There is a long and settled history of political odds making that scares Vegas. On this site the tradition is continued; and frequently improved on too.
Assume that means state race, not national
I’m not ignorant.
But for those out there who DON’T know,
how do you read those odds out loud ?
Is it, “the odds are 5 out of 6 that Sal Pace wins in CD-03 ?”
it’s like a horse race. 5 to 6. I think.
My CongressCritter does have a Repub opponent.
What happened to Danny Storud’s place in the Big Line?
But yeah. If Lundberg has not just a mention, but a shot in hell, Stroud should, too. To say nothing of Casida.
Stroud has $7k. You make the Line if it is conceivable that you could win or at least influence the race. Stroud does not cross that threshold. Just filling out paperwork to make yourself a candidate doesn’t make you part of the discussion.