PPP in Colorado: Obama 49%, Romney 42%

A fresh poll from Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling out today:

Barack Obama still looks like the favorite to win Colorado again this year, but Mitt Romney’s become much more competitive in the state since wrapping up the Republican nomination. Obama leads 49-42. His lead had been 53-40 on PPP’s last poll, which was conducted the weekend before Rick Santorum dropped out of the race.

Romney’s seen a major improvement in his image in Colorado, as he has nationally, since GOP voters unified around him. His numbers still aren’t terribly impressive with 40% of voters rating him favorably to 52% with a negative opinion. But that’s up a net 17 points from April when he was at 31/60.

The reason the race has tightened over the last couple months is that Romney’s really closed the gap with independents. He still trails Obama 48-38 with them, but that’s quite a bit better than April when he was down 57-31. The candidates both have their party bases pretty unified with Obama at 87% of Democrats and Romney at 84% of Republicans.

There’s been an interesting shift along racial lines over the last 2 months. Obama’s doing better with Hispanics than he was previously, leading 60-33 compared to a previous advantage of 53-38.  But he’s doing worse with whites, leading only 47-45, down from 52-41 in April. About a third of the interviews for this poll were conducted prior to Obama’s immigration announcement so it would be simplistic to ascribe those shifts to that, but it’s worth keeping an eye on.

After a variety of other polls showed the gap between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney consistently small in Colorado, we would have been more surprised to see PPP continuing to show the outsize Obama lead they indicated back in April. You can give Romney credit for successfully consolidating GOP support here after losing the caucuses to Rick Santorum, and look ahead to a vicious battle for aloof, cynical independents. But the Ken Buck curse” is still very much an issue, with Obama leading Romney by 14 points with Colorado women.

Overall, this poll just brings PPP’s results into line with the consensus view. It’s a close race.

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23 Community Comments, Facebook Comments

  1. Gray in Mountains says:

    Rasmussen, European socialism, job killing Obamacare, auto bailout, Kenya, terrorist pals, apologies…

    • Libertad says:

      As you know these head to head polls are too early. You really need to look at other polling that signals issues and energy. As stated below and by the candidates themselves, this will be a close race.

      Enter Roberto Unger, former Obama Harvard Professor.

      In a shocking rebuke to his former underling and client, the professor released a video calling for the removal of Obama.

      http://www.youtube.com/watch?v

      Unger, 65, said of his former student in a YouTube video posting: “He has subordinated the broadening of economic and educational opportunity …snip… in the mistaken belief that he would be spared a fight.”

      He added, “He has spent trillions of dollars to rescue the monied interests and left workers and homeowners to their own devices,” according to the paper.

      Unger concluded by what amounts to an endorsement of his former student’s opponent, Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney: “Only a political reversal can allow the voice of democratic prophecy to speak once again in American life.”

      Read more on Newsmax.com: Obama’s Former Professor: He Must Be Defeated

      Important: Do You Support Pres. Obama’s Re-Election? Vote Here Now!

  2. Craig says:

    Aloof, Cynical independents?  Moi???

  3. MADCO says:

    Romney is winning in Colorado, and is going to win Colorado.  This is common knowledge.  He’s focused his resources elsewhere because he’s already won Colorado.

    This race is over, here.  It will be closer nationwide (MO, WI, NV) but it’s done here.

  4. ArapaGOPArapaGOP says:

    http://www.coloradopeakpolitic

    The PPP poll out today claims Obama is beating Romney in Colorado, 49-42, but that’s when they oversample Democrats by 7.3%, undersample Republicans by 2% and undersample unaffiliateds by 4.4% compared to the active voter registration totals in Colorado as of June 1.

    Every other recent poll — Rasmussen, Purple Strategies, NBCNews/Marist — has had the race tied or within the margin of error. Yet somehow, after weeks of bad press, and Colorado’s unemployment rising in April and May, Obama is up 7 in the PPP poll?

    The Democrat flacks over at PPP must also have missed veteran Democratic pollster Peter Hart’s focus group in Colorado last week where Obama was dubbed a “slick salesman, but his words didn’t match his actions” by a group of undecided voters, 10 of 12 whom voted for Obama in 2008.

    And for some godforsaken reason the media is reporting the poll without any mention of the serious sampling flaws.

    Pols didn’t either, but I expect more from real media. 🙂

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