U.S. Senate
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(D) J. Hickenlooper*
(R) Somebody
80%
20%
Governor
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(D) Michael Bennet
(D) Phil Weiser
60%↑
50%↓
Att. General
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(D) M. Dougherty
(D) Jena Griswold
(D) David Seligman
40%
40%
30%
Sec. of State
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(D) A. Gonzalez
(D) J. Danielson
(R) Sheri Davis
50%
40%
30%
State Treasurer
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(D) Brianna Titone
(D) Jeff Bridges
(R) Kevin Grantham
40%
40%
30%
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(R) Jeff Hurd*
(D) Somebody
80%
40%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert*
(D) Trisha Calvarese
(D) Eileen Laubacher
90%
20%
20%
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Jeff Crank*
(D) Somebody
80%
20%
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) B. Pettersen*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(R) Gabe Evans*
(D) Manny Rutinel
(D) Yadira Caraveo
45%↓
40%↑
30%
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
May 13, 2011 08:46 PM UTC
5 Comments
Republicans won’t take the seat in a year Obama is on the ballot, and Scott Walker still in charge. Walker gave the Democrats of Wisconsin a 10-year pass.
Many swing voters in Wisconsin are progressive-leaning due to their state’s history and canonization of La Follette. They are more moderate and not driven by religion or libertarianism. The Medicare busting of Paul, and the union busting of Walker give most independents enough pause to pull the lever for any competent Democrat.
Saying they are recruiting Feingold to run. Not such a bad idea…
but I know nothing about Wisconsin politics; certainly his name recognition is higher than any other potential candidate. Is there anyone else out there with enough positives to be a better choice anyway?
He leads the field in some theoretical polling that was done a short while back, performing better than other (D) candidates. But he’s also not a huge money-raiser and doesn’t really like outside money coming in, so he puts himself at unnecessary disadvantage in campaigns.
He’s got a virtual monopoly (written into the rules) on budget bills; being Senator, even in a theoretical majority, would lose him that.
Only two possibilities change that math…
1) it looks like the House is going to switch control, in which case Ryan is likely in trouble anyway because he’ll be largely to blame for the losses.
2) it looks like Republicans will take the Presidency and retain the House, but need a stronger candidate in Wisconsin to have a good shot at the Senate. I think Ryan’s enough of an ideologue that he’d make the switch if it meant full GOP control of government – the goal is more important than the post. But Ryan isn’t a strong enough candidate right now, and it’s not likely Wisconsin voters will be kind to him in an anti-GOP Wisconsin election cycle.