4 thoughts on “PPP Colorado Poll Looks Good for Obama”

1. Interesting in the generic re-elect poll, Obama’s worst numbers are with the youngest people, he polls only 48-48.  Yet when matched up with named candidates, he beats them all in this demographic by at least 10 points.  What this means is that younger liberals aren’t happy with the guy.  Seems to me that this may understate Obama’s generic re-elect numbers here in Colorado.

   The poll does seem to over state the number of Democrats who answered.  This would make it closer than the poll seems.

   I think Romney loses more Republican votes than that, though they won’t go to Obama, just to the dustbin.  There are lots of Morman haters in the Republican Party.  So I would say that the undecided Republicans might just take a walk on Romney rather than elect someone they believe is immoral.

   Gee, thought Laughing Boy would be all over this one.  Guess not.  There isn’t any good news here for him.  But since he does seem to love the numbers when they favor his position, thought I’d just rub it in here.

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   1. I still think the sample pool is flawed though:

      Q13 If you are a Democrat, press 1.  If a
      
      Republican, press 2.  If you are an independent
      
      or identify with another party, press 3.

      Democrat   43%
      
      Republican 35%
      
      Independent/Other 22%
      

      It just doesn’t represent current Colorado voter registration numbers, which show Republicans with a slight advantage statewide.

      Here are the raw numbers from the last SoS report:

      Democrat           1,071,796 (32.4%)
      
      Republican         1,081,965 (32.7%)
      
      Unaffiliated/Other 1,147,791 (34.7%)

      You could make the case that the oversampling of Dems is from voters who are registered unaffiliated or 3rd party, but tend to self-ID as Democrats. But if that was the case, you would think that there would be a significant upswing in Us who self-ID as Rs, yet it’s only a 2.3% difference between the sample and the reality. The numbers do add up if you take away 11% from the Ds, the ~3% from the Rs and add it to the Us. I just think that’s a dubious result.

      I will say that PPP has consistently been one of the most accurate pollsters in Colorado, and they did predict the US Senate races very accurately.

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      1. almost all of them registered as “independents” when they were intending to vote for Obama. People are suspicious of the two parties and do not want the phone calls. Ironically, both parties and all campaigns see “independents” as fair game, so they will get more calls, not fewer.

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2. I’m gonna go home and cry. There is clearly no point in even trying to win Colorado next year.

   (haha)

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