(Promoted by Colorado Pols)
If you’re fair-minded and you look at Tuesday’s election in Colorado, you admit that it could have been worse for Republicans, but overall the Colorado Republican Party has grabbed Donald Trump and swung with him so far to the right that the GOP has become next to irrelevant here.
So how can Republicans move back to a reasonable zone on the political spectrum? How can they win again statewide–or short of that, exert any real power in state politics?
That’s what’s best for everybody in the long run. Democrats might win more elections in the short term if Republicans can’t shake the right-wing grip of Trump.
But in the long term, progressives and conservatives will be better off with a more moderate Republican Party. Otherwise, eventually, Republicans will create a subculture that will produce someone like Trump who manages to get real power in Colorado. It’s just a matter of time.
So, over the past week, I asked conservatives how the GOP could win again here, and a few themes emerged, starting with the need for the Colorado GOP to have reasonable leaders.
Other advice included: Colorado Republicans have to offer solutions, that address the basic concerns of voters, instead of being the party of opposition.
And they need quality candidates, people without damaging skeletons dangling in the shadows. These candidates need to be more moderate. And a lot of money is needed to execute a long-range plan.
But the need to recruit quality GOP leaders and candidates topped of the list of suggestions.
“The Republican leadership needs to be fired in Colorado,” says businessman and former GOP state Rep. Victor Mitchell, when asked about how the GOP could win again statewide. “It starts with having an exceptionally good leadership team.”
David Flaherty of Magellan Strategies said GOP leaders have to emerge throughout the party structure.
“It’s not just a strong state party leader,” said Flaherty. “Each individual candidate has to decide what their values are. And the thing is, in the larger picture, to win over the front range and our growing younger demographics and the people coming here, it’s going to take a long time for the collective Republican Party, from delegates to people who work at the polls to people who volunteer for the county parties and donors to decide what they want to look like.”
Good Republicans Won’t Step Up?
“You have to get good candidates,” said Colorado Sun columnist Mario Nicolais. “And I got to tell ya, I think there are a lot of good candidates out there who’ve said, ‘No way. I am not putting myself through that.'”
Many Republicans won’t run because they aren’t extreme enough to pass muster with the GOP activists in Colorado.
“It’s going to take a lot more center-right candidates who are much more accomplished and have done great things in their lives,” said Mitchell. “It’s nonsense to have the purity test that the Republicans have been putting out there. In order to get the nomination you have to be so extreme, it just doesn’t work. It doesn’t play well in Colorado. I look at people like Charlie Baker, the governor in Massachusets. That’s the profile of the type of candidate that we should be recruiting to run in our statewide races. We need people with a lot more experience in the private sector, who can self-fund. We have to have the discipline not to allow crazy people to hijack the party.”
“Right now, we allow everyone to run, whether they have poor backgrounds,” said Mitchell. “The more extreme they are the more oxygen they get. That’s a losing strategy for Colorado Republicans.”
No Room for Moderate Republicans?
“Do you want a Bill Owens Republican? Or do you want a Lauren Boebert Republican?” asked Flaherty. ” I think probably right now the rank-and-file in the Colorado Republican Party want a Lauren Boebert. That’s where we are today.”
“The bottom line, if there is no room for a more moderate Republican, especially in the newer developments along the Front Range, Republicans will have a hard time ever making gains,” said Flaherty. “It just won’t happen.”
Voters Want Problem Solvers
“In terms of the Republican Party, there could be more listening, in terms of looking at the electorate, seeing what policy solutions people are asking for, and figuring out how to frame that in a conservative philosophy,” said former Republican state Rep. Cole Wist.
“What I’m talking about is, let’s find a way to unite on issues that will bring together the Republican Party,” said Wist. “Right now, it’s all, where do you stand on Trump? And that seems to be driving the conversation, as opposed to, where do you stand on policy? Where do you stand on governing? If the party will focus more on governing and policy solutions, and being collaborative, I think they will be successful. That’s not Trump’s style. Is it the Republican Party or the Trump Party?”
Flaherty said Democrats “have very successfully positioned themselves as problem solvers rather than ideologues.”
Ari Armstong, a columnist for the conservative Complete Colorado, also thinks the GOP has to “present a positive vision for how they hope to govern.”
“I think Democratic successes result largely from the failure of many Republicans to talk sensibly about the issues that most voters care about,” says Armstrong. “In many voters’ minds, the GOP is the party that hates gay people and wants to ban all abortions. Now, it is the party often associated with the lunacy of QAnon and the racial nationalism of Donald Trump. That just ain’t gonna cut it in statewide races. Republicans need to present a positive vision for how they hope to govern for everyone in Colorado.”
Will Republicans take that advice?
“There are a lot of Republican parties across the country that have been perfectly content going into a permanent minority,” said Nicolais. “They are more interested in someone voicing their opinion than in actually governing. They’d say, ‘Of course we want to govern.’ But at the cost of having to be inclusive of more voices, I don’t know that that’s true. That’s the ultimate question that faces Republicans in Colorado.”
“Colorado could actually become California, where Republicans are a non-entity,” said Nicolais. “They are not relevant at all, as far a legislation goes.”
“There are a lot of big hurdles if they want to be relevant,” said Nicolais. “And the path of least resistance is absolutely to simply let the Republican Party of Colorado fade away to a voice of opposition but not a governing opposition. And I think the base is fine with that.”
“To change that, you have to have substantial resources and good people committed to it long term,” said Nicolais.
I hear fatalism, but no solutions:
Game, set, match.
The national Republican Party is controlled by the Koch Brothers, Fox News and Steve Bannon. There is no Colorado strategy to compete with that.
You're right. They don't want to win with something like Bill Owens, or worse, a Hank Brown-type Republican.
They'd rather take their chances running screwballs and hoping for the best than compromise on sanity and improve their chances of winning.
“The national Republican party is controlled by the Koch Brothers, Fox News, and Steve Bannon…..”
That’s too simplistic. There is just one political Koch brother remaining. Fox News has come under a far right wing cloud due to some of their visible staff being less than enthused about falling on their swords for Trump. Exhibit A is the Fox News decision desk calling AZ for Biden on election night. And, Steve Bannon is now facing legal trouble for alleged fraud.
But, each party has their billionaire supporters. The Dems have Bloomberg, Steyer, among others. The Repubs have Adelson, the Uihleins, the Mercers, and Ricketts, the dude who owns the Chicago Cubs.
Armstrong and Nicolais reference some of the problems. On guns, the Party is well to the right of even Justice Antonin Scalia. On abortion and contraception, the Party is in the hands of the far right wing, religious, “bedroom police.”
Overall, the Party needs leaders who will be more inclusive; sort of like Lee Atwater’s “big tent.” But that means getting rid of people now in leadership, like Ken Buck, Kristi Burton Brown, the Neville family, Jon Caldara, and Jeff Hunt.
Fox News has been the dominant or even only news source across much or rural America. Rural and low-info voters have tons of awareness of right-wing information, but virtually no communication channels from Democratic, liberal or left-wing sources.
But time and tide waits for no man: The right-wing is expanding: RT, OANN, Epoch Times, Steve Bannon, and a bunch of right-wing radio hosts and bloggers who have huge audiences.
Then there is the Mises institute (Koch money). Plus, the right-wing replacements to social media, like Parley.
Bannon might be out now.
Sure he gets a pardon – but he's kind of toxic. Same with Stone.
Kochs are funded so they're not going away unless they just tired of it.
Assuming this sticks, who is the prohibitive front '24 frontrunner ?
Sorry Governor Kasich.- Eisenhower is dead and gone.
Jeb, Mitt – could be a regressive Reaganish party. (It wouldn't really be – but I believe perception is all that matters.
Rubio, Cruz, Santorum – loser; loser, loser. I don't see it.
Most of the rest it would still be party of Trump.
CO-4 & Ken Buck's trajectory ..
2014 — 64.7%
2016 — 63.5%
2018 — 60.6%
2020 — 59.6%
Who knows what will happen with a reapportionment and (sooner or later) the loss of an incumbency advantage.
At that rate of decline, Buck would eventually lose ….. in another 20 years.
That district can elect a Democrat but only if the perfect storm were to occur …. such as in 2008. Then, there was a strong, attractive Democratic candidate running, a particularly odious incumbent Republican (who did virtually nothing but fixate on one issue), and a wave election.
As for holding out hope that redistricting helps, keep in mind that one of the criteria in drawing boundaries is “preservation of communities of interests” which means that district must remain rural.
If you could splice half of CD 4 with half of CD 1 (I know, it’s a silly idea but humor me for a moment), you’d end up with a centrist Dem or a centrist Republican because the district would become competitive and neither party would risk running an ideologue.
Another criteria includes maximizing “the number of politically competitive districts" which does not describe CD 4 except for the occurrence of the perfect storm, as you say.
Colorado is gearing up to implement Amendments Y and Z to change the way we draw political maps discusses the role that academia might play in the design process, basically ranking all possible contiguous assemblies of political precincts ranked according to criteria established by the commission.
Lauren Bobert, Doug Lamborn, Ken Buck will do well in hard right pockets of the state, but they will always lose statewide. People like John Suthers, Bill Owens, Hank Brown. People who are more moderate can beat Jared Polis and Michael Bennet, but they can't win primaries here. Conversely people like Diana Degette, Andrew Romanoff also won't win statewide. Reliably in statewide elections, Colorado votes for the less extreme candidate.
The Republican party won't change in Colorado or anywhere else just because trmp is out of office. Mcconnell holds the reins and he's marked the trail. They haven't finished dismantling the new deal yet and their only path to accomplish that is with the right wingers in tow and with big business money. I'd feel more optimistic if McConnell had been defeated.
“Stay the course GOPers, . . . (Please!) . . .”
That sage advice, and, oh yeah: https://youtu.be/KgfIKiVrSRA
And speaking of the last of the surviving great RINOs living in captivity in Colorado….