GSG: Trump Down 11, Gardner Down 10

Sen. Cory Gardner and John Hickenlooper.

As the Denver Post’s Alex Burness reports as the usual mid-September anxiety sets in over the usual mid-September election year question in Colorado–“sure Democrats are ahead, but is it close?”

After a couple of polls inspired speculation that in Colorado, the race for President and our state’s U.S. Senate seat was “narrowing,” a new survey out today from Global Strategy Group for liberal group ProgressNow Colorado once again shows the Democratic candidates in both these races with the double-digit leads we’ve been accustomed to for months now:

The findings were released by the liberal advocacy group ProgressNow Colorado, which contracted with Democratic firm Global Strategy Group to conduct the survey. The pollsters surveyed 800 likely Colorado voters between Aug. 28 and Sept. 1, with a breakdown of party affiliations — 43% unaffiliated voters, 27% Republicans and 30% Democrats — that roughly mirrors the latest statewide breakdown reported by the Secretary of State’s Office. The poll has a 3.5% margin of error.

The poll finds Joe Biden leading Trump by 11 points in the presidential race. Kanye West will be on the state’s ballot in that race, too, and he received 1% support.

The poll finds that in the U.S. Senate race, Republican incumbent Gardner is down 10 points to Democratic challenger Hickenlooper, the former governor. Other recent polls have shown Gardner within single digits of Hickenlooper, including one released last week that put Gardner just five points behind. Many view Gardner as the most vulnerable Republican incumbent in the Senate, and the outcome of this race could be a deciding factor in whether Democrats can gain control of the chamber.

Read the details here. It’s a poll loaded with good news for Democrats and fans of recent Democratic policy accomplishments like the Senate Bill 217 police accountability law, which is favored by 69% of respondents, and a solid 58% approval of Gov. Jared Polis’ handling of the COVID-19 pandemic with 36% disapproving. President Donald Trump’s approval on handling the pandemic is stuck at 40% with 58% of Coloradans disapproving–and in tough news for CD-3 GOP nominee Lauren Boebert, only 8% of Coloradans have a positive view of the “QAnon” conspiracy theory.

Individual polls aren’t gospel, for anyone seeking a clear picture of any race or question polling is about informing averages. But these numbers feel pretty close to reality to us, and they’ll provide some comfort to Democrats riding out the September of their discontent.

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12 Community Comments, Facebook Comments

  1. VoyageurVoyageur says:

    I remember an interview with an old boxing trainer.

    In the final round, he always told his fighters they were behind on points and could only win with a knockout.  He wanted to ensure they closed with everything they had.

    The grim fact is that Trump, Gardner and Two-gun Boebert have small leads going into the home stretch.  Dig into your pockets, man the phones, put up your yard signs, go all out and we can still win.  But Fascism is the only reward for complacency.

  2. Gilpin Guy says:

    The facts are grim indeed if you are a Trumper/Republican.  Think California on steroids.  This is going to be a wipe out election of epic proportions.   "The race is tightening" is only in the pundit's wildest dreams.  Ousting Tipton for a gun porn tramp is an 'own goal' mistake typical of today's Trumpers.  GOTV like your going to annihilate these COIDiots from elected office.  Polis and Griswold are showing the consequences of competent leadership which is bad news for Republicans.

    • Conserv. Head Banger says:

      I don’t put much stock in this poll as it is a Democrat commissioned poll. However, GG is totally correct. Now is not the time for any complacency.

      I think VG doesn’t have any accurate info to say that either Trump or Gardner are ahead right now. But his inferred point of running as if you’re behind is spot on. Keep working!!

  3. DENependent says:

    Colorado is not the state that will determine the balance of the Senate. We’re the state that will make up for Democrats losing the Alabama Senate seat. The next two seats, based on polling averages, are Arizona and Maine. That gets Democrats to 49 with two independents.

    Colorado is a necessary win for Democrats to have hope, but the states that will determine the US Senate are NC, GA, GA, IA, MT, and AK. Georgia twice because two races.

    The potential prizes for Democrats in Colorado are in the legislature and, as Pols rightly points out, CD-3. They can solidify their hold over the Colorado Senate or even getting to a super majority in the legislature if things go really badly for the GOP. Plus ballot issues.

  4. RepealAndReplace says:

    Stay course senator. Someday they will thank you.

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