PPP did polling over the weekend in the Senate race. Even the Daily Kos official pollster now has Buck leading Bennet, 49-48. http://www.publicpolicypolling… This is kind of like a Republican being behind in the Rasmussen poll. The key takeaway, Buck leads Independents 50-46. Bennet gets 87% of Dems, Buck 86% of Republicans.
The interesting part is to track the PPP polling in the last three polls. They interviewed from September 30th through October 2nd and had Bennet up by one, 45-46. They conducted interviews of October 21-23rd and were the only polling shop that had Buck going up during that time frame, having them tied 47-47. Now, half way through the election they have Buck up 49-48.
It would seem looking at the cumulative national polls, Buck had about a 3-5% lead about a month ago. I personally don’t buy the PPP October 2 poll and believe the uptick between the Oct 2 poll and the October 23 poll were a function of PPP and not the voters. I think Buck’s lead narrowed to about 1 or 2% right before early voting and now it is back up to about a 3-5% lead.