Originally posted http://thebobhatter.com/2010/1…
So what if Dan Maes doesn’t get 10% of the vote? Well if you want to read the Denver Post or Colorado Pols, The GOP will be DOOMED in fundraising for the next 4 years. The idea that if you’re a minor party, the law states you can only fundraise for both a primary and a general.
I don’t see why this is a big deal, it’s very easy to come beat. Let’s take Owen Hill for an example. He’s running for Senate in District 11 against Senate Majority Leader John Morse. Now no one else wanted to take a shot at Senator Morse, so Owen won the Primary by default. If the GOP was a minor party, all Owen has to do is ask one of his friends to be token opposition. I would have gladly taken that spot for Owen. This means I would have had the chance to speak to the assembly, and I would have done a speech that would be a combination of Phil Davison and Basil Marceaux. Now assuming Owen doesn’t do something really stupid, he would have gotten the nomination. He had a primary opponent, so he can raise money for both the primary and general.
Am I missing something? Other then the fact Owen could lose to me if he has some big nasty scandal (The guy is a Boy Scout, there is no way) what would be the problem? It would just take some creative thinking.
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Obviously, there can be straw man candidacies. But they can bite you in the ass, and ,at best, force you to waste resources winning primaries that are better husbanded for general elections.
How does the name
strike you? The don’t-worry-nobody-will-vote-for-that-dweeb candidate in the Democratic Primary in South Carolina.
What happened to him, anyway?
Ooops.
Turns out he won and now Jim (IQ 40 and falling) DeMint is the odds on favorite in November.
And remember, you need 30 pct at the assembly to get on the ballot and make it a primary.
Beyond Al Green, tell me again the name of the Republican gubernatorial candidate in Colorado?
I don’t think it;s a real problem because I think Maes will draw at least 10 percent. Tancredo’s slogan: “Ein Reich, Ein Volk, Ein Fuehrer!” is just a bit much for the real Republican base.
But if it happens,
GOP is badly hurt for four years.
So do the rules not count for a Caucus? Meaning if only one person comes through a Caucus it doesn’t count as a primary? Do we have a source for this?
I think the different between Al Green and what I would suggest is I would of been in the joke from day one. Al Green wasn’t helping whoever he was running against.
is that if you were a token candidate, then outside groups could spend money ginning up your name recognition forcing the “real” candidate to spend money.
So, tokens just to ensure a primary could come back to bite. As a party, you really want to make sure that all the candidates for the primary are legit. Some state house races have total expenditures for the general election in the $5,000 range. It wouldn’t cost much for an outside group to be able to influence several such primary races.
And, no, a caucus is NOT a primary. Caucuses are in May. Primaries are in August.
Still, it’s unlikely that Maes will get less than 10%.
caucuses feed the respective legislative district and congressional district conventions. You need 30 pct of that to get on the ballot (unless you have a petition.) So unless you end up with the respective conventions putting on two or more candidates, there is no primary and no chance to double-dip money. For a minor party, which the GOP will be if Maes drops below ten percent. Personally, I think the loyal Republican base will give Maes at least 15 percent.
Colorado current law, upheld with Kathleen Curry’s lawsuit, does not allow minority party candidates collect for primary and general election. It’s the money that matters.
Independent candidates (like Curry) go straight onto the ballot, so don’t have primaries. They’re the ones who can’t raise primary money. Minor party candidates can so long as they have a primary. But they’ve got to actually have a primary, unlike major party candidates who automatically appear on primary ballots.