Vote after the jump. Remember, we want to know what you believe will happen, not what you might want to happen. To repeat our usual description, if you had to bet everything you owned on the outcome of this race, who would you pick?
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It’s a high R turnout year; 90% of voters have no idea who Gessler or Buescher is; and even if Buescher has more money, it’s not enough to run enough ads to raise his profile. Down-ticket races are likely just to follow the overall turnout trend, even if Hick or BEnnet might beat that trend based on their particular opponents.
who are much better known than challengers. Plus, in Buescher’s case, he has a strong base on the Western Slope, where his support cuts into normally Republican strength. It’s an article of faith for colopols that the West Slope has little influence in a statewide election. I disagree in that a Democrat with a strong base there is well placed for a general election because he can also pick up d strongholds like pueblo, denver, etc.
You’re right that I probably was being a parochial Devner/Boulderite in discounting Buescher’s Western Slope support, true.
But disagree on the incumbency point: I don’t count an appointed incumbent as the sort of incumbent who gets an edge; the edge you’re talking about is, “it’s hard to get known as a down-ticket challenger, but the incumbent already has been on the ballot for a while…”
As for appointed vs. elected, I don’t see how the great unwashed either knows or cares.
Even without being on the ballot, you see Bernie’s name in the paper a lot, doing this or that. It translates into name recognition, and is usually positive.