“Gold is good in its place; but loving, brave, patriotic men are better than gold.”
–Abraham Lincoln
You must be logged in to post a comment.
BY: Duke Cox
IN: Who Wins What in June? (Vote #1)
BY: NOV GOP meltdown
IN: Even More Felony Charges For Colorado Coup Plotters Jenna Ellis, John Eastman
BY: 2Jung2Die
IN: Thursday Open Thread
BY: MichaelBowman
IN: Thursday Open Thread
BY: 2Jung2Die
IN: Thursday Open Thread
BY: joe_burly
IN: Wednesday Open Thread
BY: MichaelBowman
IN: Wednesday Open Thread
BY: 2Jung2Die
IN: Wednesday Open Thread
BY: JohnInDenver
IN: Wednesday Open Thread
BY: MichaelBowman
IN: Wednesday Open Thread
Subscribe to our monthly newsletter to stay in the loop with regular updates!
Trump stinks
It is the old fashioned day for Washington's Birthday. How far we have come from my elementary school lesson about him as "First in War, First in Peace, First in the hearts of his countrymen."
My new bumper sticker:
#NeverBernie
I've had positive responses to my actual #NeverTrump bumper sticker. Someone even gave me a nice bottle of wine!
I think the extreme will be between the #NeverBloomie and #NeverBernie,
If so, who is your preferred compromise candidate?
I'm flummoxed, to tell the truth. I'm opposed to Bernie simply because I believe we would lose 49 states once Americans learn that his $50 Trillion in plan costs would require massive income and other tax increases. Warren's popularity plummeted when she was forced to acknowledge that her $25 Trillion in plans would result in increased income taxes. Her claim that overall costs would be lower is nuance that Americans don't comprehend.
I saw Amy last Thursday — great candidate. I'm taking a bunch of guys to see Pete tonight — "Peeps for Pete Pizza Party with Pepperoni, Pineapple and Papaya".
I'm holding my ballot until after SC and will decide who is the strongest candidate to defeat Trump not named Sanders or Warren.
I bet if you read the Niskanen Center article on Warren, you might move her into one of your choices. She is a republican, after all. That is, she's fundamentally a reformer trying to save capitalism from itself.
And, as we saw with Bloomberg, she can take down Trump one-on-one.
Personally, I think she would be a better candidate in the General than in the Primary, where the middle lane is split-to-hell, and the left lane is dominated by Bernie.
I agree. I voted for her.
I'm waiting for South Carolina, too.
WOTD from Niskanen Center: “Building a Better Warrenism“
Good article on where Warren is coming from:
…
Working my way through the rest of this great article:
#nevertrump is a world away in consequence from #neverbernie. On the bright side, you can look forward to years of scoldings from R&R about wasting your vote if Sanders is the Dem nominee that you never voted for!
And I notice that you never replied to my polite request to provide a reputable source for your $55 trillion Bernie DOOM figures. Let me ask you nicely, again- from which reputable economist or study do those numbers come?
This is an important verification.
There is one study getting a lot of attention that makes some interesting assumptions:
(1) That utilization of health care will go up 15%
(2) That reimbursement rates will go up 15%
(3) That overheat and administrative costs won't go down.
You can see how those three assumptions screw the pooch, especially if they don't assume the profit margin of insurance companies isn't removed from the system.
As Bloomberg’s investment manager, Steve Rattner is not exactly an unbiased source about the policies of the other candidates.
I looked at his published articles, and didn’t see the one you referenced. I noticed that Rattner doesn’t show any links to any studies, either- we’re just supposed to take his word for it.
Mind providing a link to your source for the Rattner claims?
As far as “how to pay for it”, both Sanders and Warren have about 10 possible revenue sources. Warren co-sponsored Sanders Medicare for All Bill, and the revenue sources for that bill are as follows:
I edited and reformatted the MFA financing options from the Sanders.gov site. https://www.sanders.senate.gov/download/options-to-finance-medicare-for-all?inline=file
Which of these plans do you disagree with, and why?
https://stevenrattner.com/2020/01/steven-rattners-morning-joe-charts-sanders-rise-in-the-polls-comes-with-an-expensive-price-tag/
Here is the link to Rattner's charts which were on Morning Joe.
I'll have to take a while to respond to your options question.
Sorry if I missed your request. Here is what I posted on 1/31:
Check out the costs of Sanders' and Warren's plans, per Steve Rattner:
Warren Sanders
Medicare for All $20.5 TN $30-40 TN
Green New Deal 3.0 TN 16.3 TN
Free College Tuition 0.6 TN 0.5 TN
Eliminate Student Debt 0.6 TN 1.6 TN
TOTALS $24.7 TN $48 – $58 TN
I noticed that Pete also used $50 Trillion in last Wednesday's debate, but wasn't able to fully pursue that. So, we are being conservative by using just $50 Trillion rather than the potential $58 Trillion noted above.
Now, I would politely ask you who is going to pay for this??
"Now, I would politely ask you who is going to pay for this??"
Only rich people.
Nice try. Care to cite a reputable economist?
What is the comparison cost between Medicare for All and Private Insurance? I keep coming back to the obvious fact that Private Insurance costs MUCH more than socialized insurance because of the 20-30% profit margin. Not to mention all the stupid administration costs and paperwork. Not to mention cost-shifting and $30,000 emergency room "out-of-network" costs.
Likewise, what is the comparison cost between the Green New Deal, and NOT doing the Green New Deal? A secondary benefit of the GND is that it is investment in infrastructure, therefore it shows a return on investment, beyond saving Florida. GND is a jobs creator, unlike tax breaks for the rich which just go to money laundering condos or off-shore accounts.
$50TN what? I have no idea what that number means. Per month? Per decade?
If you express it in pennies, then it looks even scarier: 50 Gazillion pennies.
But the most stupid part is trying to price the aspirational platform, knowing that the actual legislation will be something different. What is the cost of the plan that actually passes the House & Senate?
OMG. The campaign message should be: My plan is hugely expensive, but don't worry because it'll never pass!?!
That's exactly how you lose 49, no 50 states. You've effectively motivated the opposition who worry that it might pass if they don't stop it, and de-motivated the proponents by saying it ain't going to happen?!?
I mean, Yikes. (I'm trying to be polite.)
Yes. It is a real problem of the electoral process, or perhaps it’s all just kabuki play… for ALL the candidates.
In order to win an election, you have to present proposals that EVERYONE KNOWS will never make it into law. The pundits and press analyze as if they don’t know that fact.
The Niskanen article I’ve been pushing today addresses your point, in the context of Warren’s campaign. We can probably agree that she is one of the most qualified to actually get things done (CFPB, anybody?) in the US bureaucracy, but her weakness and strength of her brand are the same thing: “I’ve got a plan for that”. The weakness is that it opens her up to nit picking that sooner or later offends each interest group.
How much easier to just say: “MAGA!”, “Build the wall”, “Occupy Wall Street”.
I suggest that you take yourself out of the Kabuki of analyzing the details of plans that will never be passed exactly as proposed. The real significance is how the proposals fit in the context of a failing insurance system, and the terror people are experiencing about health crises and financial disaster.
The main point is that the present health care system is f***ed the hell up, and EVERYBODY KNOWS it. The US economy is turning into a corrupt kleptocracy, and EVERYBODY KNOWS it. The obstacle to resolving the climate disaster is the big oil, big money, and Republican Party… and yes, EVERYBODY KNOWS it.
We can then ask the musical question: Which side are you on?
"The campaign message should be: My plan is hugely expensive, but don't worry because it'll never pass!?!"
MFA is for the lefties what Repealing and Replacing the ACA was for the RWNJ …. a nice talking point to gin up the base but something that would never actually have the votes to pass. (Admittedly, repealing the ACA came very close to passing.)
I tried to find a summary generated by the Sanders campaign … couldn't find on on his website or in media interviews.
Sanders' CBS interview – "nobody knows, this is impossible,”
So, health care cost ranges depend a great deal on assumptions. One paper that spells out what they understand so far is by Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget.
Axios did a summary of Sanders' programs – less a cost analysis, more a "reality check" on passage and assumptions within the programs. But some cost estimates are there.
A summary of plans and links is at Pennsylvania Instititue of CPAs
Washington Post Fact Check on health care plan
CNN adds up Sanders' plans — $60 trillion.
City Journal extreme calculation — $97 trillion
WTF…….
The news yesterday that Russian was trying to help Bernie raised a couple of possibilities.
One, he is their preferred candidate. As much as I dislike what Bernie stands for, he is not a Putin tool. (He did have a strong affinity towards the workers' paradise known as the former Soviet Union, but that's a different story.) He put out a strong and appropriate warning to Russia yesterday.
Two, they want Bernie to win the nomination to ensure the re-election of Putin's preferred candidate in the general election. Even Putin knows Bernie has electability problems.
If you want free stuff, vote for Warren. At least she is electable.
I think the #2 possibility is the obvious answer — Putin knows that Sanders is not electable and would deliver the election back to his puppet/slave/debtor Trump.
New slogan: Bernie Sanders – Now Putin Approved!
Chaos. It's the Steve Bannon strategy. You can disrupt the stability of the system by amplifying the most radical extremes.
Why do libertarians support White supremacists? Because in the midst of chaos, rich people have the power and resources to buy their own safety.
Shook as fuck.
Clint 'empty chair' Eastwood wades into the fray:
A Bloomberg presidency would make Clint Eastwood's day, actor hints in interview
So Bloomberg – one of the gaggle of septuagenarians in the race – has earned the coveted endorsement from Clint Eastwood – who is on the cusp of being a nonagenarian.
Dave Barnes is right. It is time for all of these fossils to go back to Jurassic Park.
who’s worse, Trump or bernie?
It’s a legitimate question. To me, th e answer is Trump is far, far, worse.
Eight years of Trump would lock our legal system into a fascist mode for what might be generations. Eight years of climate neglect would brutalize the planet for centuries. By comparison eight years of bernie would be a walk in the park. Sure, we’d be bankrupt, but what the hell. What good is a big 401k if Trump sends you to Auschwitz?
Bernie is the second to worst option on the Democratic side. (Tulsi would actually be worse than Bernie.) But Sanders is still a big improvement over Trump.
Duplicate comment
BTW – Everything I’ve been saying about this election was espoused by James Carville on MSNBC just now. “The entire theory that by expanding the electorate and increasing turnout will win this election is the equivalent of climate denial. When people say this they are as stupid in the political science context as climate deniers are to atmospheric science.”
Listen to him. He’s not shilling for any candidate. He wants to beat Trump as much as any of us.
Well, Carville was shilling for Michael Bennet but we saw how that worked out.
Gollum-face is wrong, though. Increasing turnout and expanding the electorate historically has benefitted Democrats. Secure and easy access to voting, for example, has turned Colorado blue over the six years it’s been in effect.
Ronald Brownstein writes in the Atlantic that recent voter turnout has been higher for millennials, young voters, and minorities, groups that tend to favor Democrats.
Working class whites without college degrees tend to favor Trump, and also had high turnout- but demographically, they are a smaller group, according to Axios. Trump has broken almost every promise he made to them – the wall isn’t built, coal isn’t coming back, small farmers are going bankrupt, the swamp is deeper and nastier, Americahasnt been made great again, but is the laughingstock of the free world. They may still loyally vote for Trump, but their numbers are smaller now.
The key, in my opinion, is to reach out to, register, and persuade young and non-voters. The Obama campaign did this really well in ‘08 and ‘12. I worked both those campaigns, helped register a couple hundred voters.
538, a political prognosticator I trust, has noted that in 2020, high voter turnout could benefit either party, depending on the state.
So the situation overall is more complex than
GollumCarville’s pronouncements.Just so I’m clear, Kiwi…..
name calling is bad when Bloomberg calls someone a horse-faced lesbian but okay when you call someone Gollum-face?
The context and power relationship makes a big difference.
Satire and insult to a Democratic power broker from two decades ago is fair game.
H-F-L coming from a billionaire towards a weak and targeted group is offensive gay-baiting. More than that, it is akin to Trump’s White Nationalistic rhetoric which could validate an ICE Krystalnacht.
Voyageur likes to insult people on this board, which is just stupid and juvenile. He doesn’t have an argument so he uses insults to distract. At least they have the option to respond in kind, or else laugh at him and realize that he just lost the argument.
See what I mean about context and power?
Well, carville's own wife calls him "serpent head."
Well, Kiwi is one of your cute nicknames to attempt to belittle and disrespect my voice, so I suppose you are an expert on the uses of insult in deflecting argument.
And Gollum- Sméagol is one of my favorite characters in LoTR- I just think it’s hilarious how much Carville resembles the movie version.
I’m not the one who named you “kiwi.” It appeared almost immediately when you adopted the new nom de blog. I do plead guilty to adding “flightless bird” which the kiwi is.
I was addressing R&R. You obviously have your own issues with a need to insult, minimize, and dehumanize various people with whom you disagree.
I am laughing at you, Park Place, because you just lost the argument.
And yet, those who study the field and base their opinion on research disagree with you (two.)
Hey, that article is really good. Lots of insights in it.
The money quote:
Hey!
PH & DP!
Reasonable rhetoric? Now?!
I was think flames…. But, you're more right
Thanks
Hey, Joe Biden did pretty good in Nevada!
Since when is only half the total of the first place guy "good"?
When sarcasm isn't really your strong suit?
Trump the Concern Troll, giving what he hopes will be the kiss of death:
There was a very strong turnout last night in Aurora where Pete Buttigieg drew a crowd estimated to be about 8,500. The reaction from the audience to his speech just about blew out my hearing aids 🙂
I hope Elizabeth Warren's event this afternoon at the Fillmore shakes a few rafters as well.
I hope so, too, cuz we’re going!
Elizabeth did shake the rafters with the standing-room-only crowd at the Fillmore today. My daughter, sister and I went. Several old friends from the Plains drove down, too. They had a kids room with screens and a place for nursing mothers, which one would expect from a Warren rally.
Her campaign has raised $9 million in three days since the last debate. She’s got her voice back, literally and figuratively. So real and human, connecting at a heart level with her stories about her childhood and mother’s determination to keep the roof over the family’s head. Then listening carefully and responding thoughtfully to audience questions.
When she was asked about how she could educate people about democratic socialism, she replied, “ You’re asking the wrong person.” (Laughter) Then, paraphrasing, she said that there are some areas: health, education, safety- which are for the common good and can’t be treated as marketable commodities. Markets, she said, have to have rules, and if they don’t, “It’s just theft”.
She said that one difference she has with Sanders is the Senate filibuster rule; he wants to keep it, she wants it gone. Day one, she says there is an executive order on drug price margins that she would implement to drastically lower prices. Trump has said that he might or already did this, but in fact he has not.
The audience roared approval at all Elizabeth’s plans on comprehensive immigration reform, federal legalization of cannabis, federal law on reproductive rights, and more, but the loudest on elimination of for-profit private prisons.
She left without her usual thousand selfies with folks- had to get to South Carolina. We left her rally energized and hopeful about a unified coalition of patriotic progressives, in a way I haven’t felt since The early days of Obama.
Excellent! I think she and Buttigieg are the two smartest candidates in the race. They both are adopting a pretty positive tone (at least when not goaded by headline-hunting debate moderators).
The field will be sorted out after Super Tuesday, then hopefully we'll get more wood behind the arrowhead aimed at the heart of the Republican Party and stop their malfeasance in aiding and abetting Trump's attempted dismemberment of our democracy.
The guy who can’t win just keeps winning.
Now, and only now, Bennet, Inslee , Bullock, Kerry, HRC, anyone, someone, can’t the supers save us?
The math is pretty straightforward: if the D nominee wins the states HRC won, and flips PA, MI and WI , Ds win.
And that only happens if everyone votes D.
Otherwise, get what you deserve.
SMH
So if the real Ds would just tell the rest of us what to think and do I’m sure it will no good.
What if polling showed Bernie can win?
It does, but real Ds don’t care.
4More! MAGA!
Bernie can win pluralities in a big field, no doubt. But as hillary proved, he can’t win a majority, one on one.
Sorry, Edgyboots and Amy. Nevada was your last hurrah. We’re down to warren, biden or four more years of Trump.
Just sent another c-note to lizzie. You go, girl!
Well at least now we know, so that's good.
But wait, Hillary isn't running this time (yet) so how any candidate can/could/would/did do head to head vs her doesn't matter.
SC is going to go badly for Pete, Amy and Warren.
But none will drop before March 4.
Nobody is going away now. Counting today,
Between now and then, I think Iowa and Nevada will finalize their initial caucus counts. {Really … I’m a believer!} We still won’t have final counts of delegates until the process works through to a conclusion in May and June.
There’s another end of month, and the campaigns MAY announce (or have slip out) donations and cash on hand.
Anyone who is in negative status for cash on hand should fold up and go away. Everyone who is below 10% of the awarded delegates at that point should go away. And Sanders ought to be starting his pivot to being a “uniting” candidate. {No, I don’t really think those things will happen}
Goddam, Pete, I know you want PoC on board, but this seems an odd way to do it.
Some people are jumping the gun, but I do not understand how the <3% candidates expect to do anything useful.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/feb/22/bernie-sanders-nevada-win-is-a-breakout-moment-the-others-are-toast
fair points