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Markey Leads Musgrave by Seven in New Poll

by: Colorado Pols

Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 10:09:48 AM MDT


Those of you with better memories than ours may remember better, but if we're not mistaken this is the furthest behind Republican Rep. Marilyn Musgrave has ever been heading into an election. As Roll Call reports:

Democrats descended on Denver this week for their nominating convention as a way of signaling their commitment to making the Centennial State - and the Mountain West as a whole - competitive in the presidential race. The poll done for Roll Call seemed to bear that out, as McCain led Obama by just 2 points, 48 percent to 46 percent.

Meanwhile, Musgrave trailed Democratic challenger Betsy Markey 50 percent to 43 percent in the poll conducted by SurveyUSA for Roll Call [Pols emphasis]. Seven percent remained undecided. In an equally troubling sign for Musgrave, 51 percent of respondents said they had an unfavorable view of the three-term Congresswoman, while 31 percent viewed her favorably.

The poll of 618 likely voters was taken Aug. 22-24. It had a 4-point margin of error.

The survey found that Markey had a big lead among female voters, 53 percent to 38 percent. The two women were essentially tied among male voters.

More importantly, Markey had a huge lead in two voter groups that will be essential in deciding the election: independents and moderates. She led by 30 points among independent voters, 59 percent to 29 percent, and by 41 points among self-described moderates, 67 percent to 26 percent. Musgrave will have to close the gap in those two groups in order to have a chance at making the race competitive heading into Election Day.

Colorado Pols :: Markey Leads Musgrave by Seven in New Poll
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Wow
She led by 30 points among independent voters...and by 41 points among self-described moderates.

Those numbers are staggering. Musgrave has time though.


Best news I've heard all year!
Sending Polis to congress will be made all the sweeter by bringing the Mad Cow back to Colorado!

Heard the first Markey ad on the radio this AM slamming Musgrave for her publicity stunt/fact finding mission trip to Alaska.  

"But when I see a 9-11 victim family on television, or whatever, I'm just like, 'Oh, shut up!' I'm so sick of them because they're always complaining."  Glenn Beck  


Best news I've heard since 2006
when, for just a brief moment, Paccione led the polls against Musgrave (before all that nasty bankruptcy stuff came out all over the TV and radio).

The contempt people feel in Longmont and Fort Collins for Musgrave is amazing. It's quite possible to have someone respected by voters in other parties, but Musgrave is one of the most divisive Congresspeople I've ever seen.  

"Have a Bobby bar! My dad made them." --Jon Huntsman Jr.


[ Parent ]
Note...
That ad was an independent expenditure ad, not a campaign ad.  But it certainly hit Musgrave hard for her stunts.

"We're below sharks and contract killers." -- Rep. Trey Gowdy (R-S.C.), speaking on Congress's 9% approval rating

[ Parent ]
This is proof that God is smiling on Colorado
I'm sure Musgrave will throw everything she can at Betsy but I think Betsy will respond effectively - and that will be the end of MM.

The Republican party in Colorado is in serious danger of becoming a secondary force for some time.

Where all the cool kids will be on Saturday - Code War!


and she is not afraid of calling musgrave out:


[ Parent ]
Ba-Bye Marilyn, thanks for playing.
Congresswoman Markey does sound nice.

Oh please oh please oh please...
Getting Tancredo and Musgrave both out of Congress in one year would be a gift to the citizens of Colorado and this nation.

I'll hold my breath; this could be a serious outlier poll, but it's not going to encourage the NRCC to spend money here.

"We're below sharks and contract killers." -- Rep. Trey Gowdy (R-S.C.), speaking on Congress's 9% approval rating


Amen Phoenix
House crazies begone !  

" The webinar is free, however, there are only 250 spaces available "

Some douche


[ Parent ]
has a Democrat ever hit 50% in any poll in CD 4 since 1970?


Doubtful


"We're below sharks and contract killers." -- Rep. Trey Gowdy (R-S.C.), speaking on Congress's 9% approval rating

[ Parent ]
CO-04 polls
Poll Tracker | CO-04

   *
     CO-04
     Aug 26 SurveyUSA
     Markey (D) 50%, Musgrave (R) 43%
   *
     CO-04
     Nov 3 SurveyUSA
     Musgrave (R) 44%, Paccione (D) 43%
   *
     CO-04
     Oct 30 Const. Dyn.
     Paccione (D) 48%, Musgrave (R) 45%
   *
     CO-04
     Oct. 27 Str. Services (D)
     Paccione (D) 45%, Musgrave (R) 42%
   *
     CO-04
     Oct 25 Str. Services (D)
     Paccione (D) 45%, Musgrave (R) 42%
   *
     CO-04
     Oct 18 SurveyUSA
     Musgrave (R) 48%, Paccione (D) 38, Eidsness (Ref) 10%
   *
     CO-04
     Oct 10 Mason-Dixon
     Musgrave (R) 46%, Paccione (D) 36%
   *
     CO-04
     Oct 3 Str. Services (D)
     Musgrave (R) 42%, Paccione (D) 42%
   *
     CO-04
     Sept 21 SurveyUSA
     Musgrave (R) 46%, Paccione (D) 42%
   *
     CO-04
     Sept 6 Constituent Dyn.
     Musgrave (R) 47%, Paccione (D) 41%


"At times one remains faithful to a cause only because its opponents do not cease to be insipid." - Nietzsche  


[ Parent ]
that's what I thought
   I recalled that there was a poll that had Angie slightly ahead, but they were both in the mid to high 40s.
  Wow, Betsy Markey is boldly going where no CD 4 Dem has gone before!

[ Parent ]
Musgrave is now an even bigger money suck
for the GOP thanb she already was, while providing little or no benefit to the GOP (which is sure to be in the minority in 2009 in the House where there is no filibuster power).

Republicans aren't supposed to have to spend big bucks to defense supposedly safe GOP seats like CO-4.

This race is a win for the Dems, win or lose.


Well....
...I can't imagine after '06 and the ultimatum the GOP gave Musgrave that they would be likely to throw the level of money at her that they did then.  And she would probably need more now than she did then.  She seems to be SOL on that front.  

[ Parent ]
They haven't learned...
The NRCC is throwing $1.2m into the race to keep Musty in there.  So far the D-trip is throwing in around $600k, but I think they'll go in for a bigger buy with the NRCC's ad reservation - they smell blood!

"We're below sharks and contract killers." -- Rep. Trey Gowdy (R-S.C.), speaking on Congress's 9% approval rating

[ Parent ]
do they have that kind of $$$ to waste on her?
   I thought after the trifecta of loses in Ill., La., and Miss., the NRCC was close to broke.

[ Parent ]
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