CO-04 (Special Election)
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(R) Greg Lopez
(R) Trisha Calvarese
90%
10%
President (To Win Colorado)
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(D) Joe Biden*
(R) Donald Trump
80%
20%↓
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
90%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
90%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(D) Adam Frisch
(R) Jeff Hurd
(R) Ron Hanks
40%
30%
20%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert
(R) Deborah Flora
(R) J. Sonnenberg
30%↑
15%↑
10%↓
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Dave Williams
(R) Jeff Crank
50%↓
50%↑
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
90%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) Brittany Pettersen
85%↑
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(D) Yadira Caraveo
(R) Gabe Evans
(R) Janak Joshi
60%↑
35%↓
30%↑
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
November 04, 2014 04:44 PM UTC
12 Comments
Comparing El Paso + DougCo to Denver + Boulder makes me very nervous for Udall.
Remember, the 2010 totals are TOTALS. The 2014 numbers are Election morning totals. Dems tend to vote on Election Day; Republicans tend to vote early.
I took my boyfriend to vote at the Boulder Clerks Office and not only were most of the voting booths inside (about a dozen) full, but there was a constant line of 5-10 cars dropping ballots off; sometimes more than one ballot.
Also worth noting, I can't speak to other counties, but the El Paso County dem turnout machine is fierce. Good turnout in El Paso could be a good thing for us. We'll know in a few hours.
g,
Boulder is D + 27,430
El Paso is R + 58,856
Denver is D + 57,236
Douglas is R + 36,732
Boulder's blueness comes as much from unaffiliateds than Democrats. In fact, CD2 does not have a strong Dem majority. It's all the "U's". Not trying to tell you how to do your job AC, but you're focusing on the wrong thing.
It's true:
CO-02 2012 registration (2012):
D R U
131,651 (33.69%) 123,677 (31.65%) 135,431 (34.66%)
Dem party advantage: 2.04%
By comparison:
Jared Polis share of vote 2012: 55.7% (11.4% advantage over all others)
Obama share of vote 2012: 57.9% (15.8% advantage over all others)
Unaffiliateds in CO-02 definitely swing for the Democrats by large margins.
A non-scientific observation: Lots of young people seem to prefer to register U rather than identify with either Rs or Ds. In practice they are more likely to be D friendly voters when the R alternative is a far righty who opposes reproductive rights, equal marriage rights, equal pay, denies climate change, etc.
Those are the young people I know, too. BC. Not willing to declare it, but they vote with us.
Taking a quick break form vote wrangling to offer this from early-voting guru Michael McDonald (emphasis mine), Denounce the resident dickhead and keep the faith, I can tell you from deep in the field this thing IS NOT OVER! Dem voters are flooding the boxes and polling stations all over metro Denv/Boulder. Fight the darkness and evil of the corrupt enemy!:
.@MarcACaputo reg Ds are late breaking many places where there are high number of mail ballots: CA, CO, FL & IA
Thanks for the vote wrangling!
What BC ^^^ said
Hope this hold up Early national exits show a 3-point Dem party ID advantage. ID was tied in 2010.