CO-04 (Special Election)
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(R) Greg Lopez
(R) Trisha Calvarese
90%
10%
President (To Win Colorado)
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(D) Joe Biden*
(R) Donald Trump
80%
20%↓
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
90%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
90%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(D) Adam Frisch
(R) Jeff Hurd
(R) Ron Hanks
40%
30%
20%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert
(R) Deborah Flora
(R) J. Sonnenberg
30%↑
15%↑
10%↓
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Dave Williams
(R) Jeff Crank
50%↓
50%↑
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
90%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) Brittany Pettersen
85%↑
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(D) Yadira Caraveo
(R) Gabe Evans
(R) Janak Joshi
60%↑
35%↓
30%↑
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
May 12, 2014 10:14 AM UTC
22 Comments
Fantastic news!
And those wimpy "endorsement" ads from notorious lightweight Rubo Marcio (and the U S Chamber of Commerce) aren't going to help Cory either, any more than the laughable C of C ads for Coffman will help him.
If you won't pay attention to Rasmussen, why should I care about Public Policy Democrat Polling Inc.?
You act as though anyone here gives a rat's rump what you think or care about. Don't flatter yourself.
I suppose you could ask Mitt Romney about ignoring polls.
I pay attention to poll averages. While Udall's lead has been consistently small whenever the latest polls are averaged together, Gardner hasn't taken even a small lead in either the individual polls or poll averages at sites like Real Clear. As for Rasmussen did you know that Obama's approval rating has been consistently higher in their polling for quite a while now than elsewhere? So who is it you pay attention to now?
That said, I suspect the 4 point PPP lead is a bit on the high side (mix seems just a bit Dem heavy) but even a small consistent average lead is usually a pretty good predictor, though nothing is anywhere near set in stone this far out. I'm still ready to bet that Udall will win by a small but not razor thin margin. The issue numbers would seem to show that, as we get closer, more people will be made aware from ads that their preferences are more aligned with Udall, less with Gardner.
The previous poll was two points. So if this is on the high side, does that mean the race hasn't change?
What then is all the hubbub about?
You said the polls are narrowing since ACA and BENGHAZI!!! No hubbub.You're the ones trying as hard as you can to create breathless hubbub. Just a reality check. Udall isn't slipping. He's going to beat your boy. And you can gloat over our criticizing Hick all you want but Hick's going to beat whoever you run, too. Once again, Colorado Repugs are going to underperform, no matter what happens elsewhere, because your state party bench is pathetic.
Typical head in the sand mentality – don't trust the most accurate polling firm in the nation because it doesn't fit your bias.
PPP has been proven to be one of the most reliable pollsters. rasmussen on the other hand were dead wrong about the 2012 elections. Udall is beating Gardner in basically every poll. Gardner is in deep trouble. Udall is crushing him with women voters. Women in CO see Gardner as the right wing extremist that he truly is. Tancoredo and Bob Beauprez are both proven LOSERS. In 2006, Beauprez lost the governor's race by 17 points and 2010, Tancredo lost by 15 points. The fact that Gardner has flipped flopper on his previous positions on issues shows that he is too extreme for CO.
Not only did Beauprez lose in '06, he lost to Bill Ritter, who ran the most half-assed, lack-luster campaign I've ever seen and wussed out on another go in '10. And the Rs are going to cast their lot with him again? Man, is their bench thin! I;m not worried at all about Udall. Gardner has 6 months to put his back paw in his mouth a few times, and he does seem to love the taste of it.
This is awesome. I have heard Cory Gardner described as " everything that is wrong with politics today " more than once, and really think its an apt description. He dosen't represent the people of CD-4, he's a damn O&G lobbyist. Come November he'll have to be a lobbyist for real.
http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2014-colorado-senate-gardner-vs-udall
for you nerds
Overall, the race has narrowed dramatically since the Obamacare rollout disaster and Benghazi. Is that not obvious?
No. Try reading some polls.
BC- I'm not sure you needed that last word.
You don't hear the radicaL gop talking about Obamacare as it's kinda hard to call something a failure when it is literally helping well over 10 million people as we speak, Majority of Americans do not care about benghazi. Numerous benghazis happened under George W Bush and the right wingers weren't calling for hearings about that and they weren't called for hearings for when George W Bush lied to the American public about Iraq which led to THOUSANDS of American soldiers losing their lives.
Obamacare, Benghazi? Please continue the attacks.
Gardner, in a landslide!…..Hahahahahahaha…oh, stop…my sides are hurting….
The Obamacare 'rollout' and BENGHAZI! both predated Gardner's entry into the race. Is that not obvious?
I am encouraged by the PPP poll. I wanted to see if the anti-Gardner campaign was having any effect. I don't thnk it was all the fliping etc that made the difference. I think that Udall's ad on choice, emphasizing respect, is brilliant. If Udall wins, I say it is because that little baby that reached out, touched his shirt and they both smiled. You can't fake trust or respect and you sure has hell can't get a baby to do something he/she doesn't want to do.
I see NBC's Chuck Todd still parroting the right's claim that Udall and Gardner are tied in the polls.
Technically, the MOE on PPP's sample is about 4.25%, which means that statistically the two are tied.
However, Udall has led polling consistently, which argues for a slight but real Udall lead.