Who Might Win? (CD6)

interesting

I'm a bit surprised to see Tom Wiens doing so well, but considering the money that will need to be raised to win the primary, I think he's the realistic bet. 

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by: roll the idiots @ Thu Aug 30, 2007 at 21:41:14 PM UTC

Not Wiens...

Wiens is an obnoxious blow-hard.  All the money in the world  couldn't get Wiens elected in a field crowded with well-spoken, respected conservatives.

My money is on Harvey, who has the record to back up his conservative credentials.

But certainly he (Harvey) and Armstrong are head and shoulders above Wiens.

Norton isn't running, and Balmer is backing Armstrong, so they shouldn't even be on the list.

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by: Love & a .45 @ Thu Aug 30, 2007 at 21:55:25 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

Don't bet on Harvey

I ran against TH in 2004 for the HD43 seat. Back then every Republican I talked with who knew who he was (most didn't!) couldn't stand him. Based on that, I can't see how he could win a primary, and in a fair district (or with some actual Democratic money being spent) he couldn't get elected to dog catcher.

I have heard him described as John Andrews' and Tom Tancredo's love child, and it wasn't a compliment. Seems to fit, if you ask me.

"I do not feel obliged to believe that the same God who has endowed us with senses, reason and intellect has intended us to forego their use..." -- Galileo Galilei, 1615

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by: RadioFreeDenver @ Fri Aug 31, 2007 at 03:02:03 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

I doubt your objectivity RFD...

Harvey is a well spoken conservative leader.  In a conservative seat like CO-6 he'll me one of the main contenders

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by: Love & a .45 @ Fri Aug 31, 2007 at 14:46:12 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

And frankly....

(I assume you're a Democrat)... the RINO's who would even talk to you at all, aren't the voters who matter in a Republican primary in a conservative district.

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by: Love & a .45 @ Fri Aug 31, 2007 at 15:02:14 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

RINO's? Like Theodore Roosevelt or Dwight Eisenhower?

Conservative district? That's a laugh. In 2004, voters in Highlands Ranch approved issues 4A and 4B, as well as Amendments 35 and 37. In 2005, HD43 went for Ref C by a margin of 54% to 46%, while TH was opposed to all of these winning issues. In 2006, Bill Ritter would have won Highlands Ranch  with a swing in just one precinct. That doesn't sound like a conservative district to me. The right candidate with some actual money can win down here. Pat Waak -- are you listening?

The people in HD43 are actually Democrats; they just don't realize it yet.

"I do not feel obliged to believe that the same God who has endowed us with senses, reason and intellect has intended us to forego their use..." -- Galileo Galilei, 1615

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by: RadioFreeDenver @ Sat Sep 01, 2007 at 04:35:34 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

The highland ranch dems are one of the most energized and organized community groups I have met

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by: Danny the Red (hair) @ Sat Sep 01, 2007 at 05:02:34 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

HD43 went for Ref C by a margin of 54% to 46%

Move over Massachusetts.  H.D. 43 must be the land of tax and spend liberals!

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by: One Queer Dude @ Sat Sep 01, 2007 at 11:21:46 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

But can you get married there? :)

"Politics determines who has the power, not who has the truth." Paul Krugman, 9/2010

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by: parsingreality @ Sun Sep 02, 2007 at 03:47:48 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

but you left off John Andrews, Nancy Spence, Debbie Stafford, Joe Stengel

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by: One Queer Dude @ Thu Aug 30, 2007 at 23:09:34 PM UTC

...

Andrews already said that he won't run.

Stengel, Spence and Stafford don't have a chance; they're all too boring/old/liberal etc.

I've heard rumors that Coffman is going to run and use Phaseline as his consultant.

This is a conservative seat, and a conservative will win it.

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by: Love & a .45 @ Fri Aug 31, 2007 at 14:48:44 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

Armstrong Would Win

My bet would be on Wil Armstrong. He's been active on campaigns and community work -- as well as making his own way in the business world.

He'd get the Conservative vote, and will bring a freshness to the usual suspects.

From what I hear, he's got many heavy hitters (Andrews, Balmer, Norten etc.) encouraging him to run.

Mike Coffman is doing a great job as Secretary of State. We need him to finish the job. If he quits that job, voters will have a Democrat appointed to his position.

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by: Republican Family @ Thu Sep 06, 2007 at 04:30:07 AM UTC