Thank You Gallup, And Don’t Let The Door Hit You On Your Way Out!

Remember those Gallup Polls showing Romney with a slight, but persistent lead? Did you hate it when your GOP acquaintances would quote them to you, confident that Mittens would soon rule? В Well, it turns out their methodology was fatally flawed. В  USA TodayВ just dropped the company so as not to suffer the same embarrassment in 2014.

I just wanted to take this opportunity to thank the Gallup organization for providing the GOP with a false sense of security, and providing even more motivation to Democratic activists to help get out the vote!

The fact is that Gallup has only pegged the correct winner in 60% of elections since 1976 – which is not much better than a coin flip. That record drops to 25% since 2000. In four elections since 1976 in which the election margin was less than five points, Gallup has not called the right winner.

Apparently, Gallup must be run by Romney supporters, because they adopted his business В tactics as well:

And yet, the most troubling accusations lobbed Gallup’s way came when the justice department filed charges against it
. The suit, brought in 2012, alleges that Gallup submitted $13m in false claims to the US government, by inflating the cost of polling work. These charges include milking the US mint, state department and other organizations.

Pardon any formatting oddities (there are two blockquotes above from the linked article). В I’m just getting used to posting diaries.

4 Community Comments, Facebook Comments

  1. Duke CoxDuke Cox says:

    Political polling is changing. Old truths are no longer true.

    Thanks for posting, Davie…and welcome. Haven’t seen your work before…is this your first diary?

  2. Nice first diary, Davie.

    I didn’t know just how bad Gallup’s polling had been. For USA Today to drop them probably means that Gannet saw some really bad data from them.

    For all the griping around here by the righties, PPP was the most accurate polling outfit this year. Facts, apparently, have a well-known liberal bias even yet.

Leave a Reply

Comment from your Facebook account

You may comment with your Colorado Pols account above (click here to register), or via Facebook below.