Polling Looks Alright For Hickenlooper, For Now

FOX 31’s Eli Stokols:

Colorado Gov. John Hickenlooper, a Democrat, ranks as one of the safest governors facing reelection in 2014, according to an early survey by Public Policy Polling released Monday.

Hickenlooper, whose political skills may be tested over the next two years now that Democrats control both the state House and Senate and will be free to send more partisan legislation to his desk, leads a generic Republican by a 54-33 margin…

Two Colorado Republicans whose names are being tossed around as potential 2014 gubernatorial candidates are state Sen. Greg Brophy of Wray and Bob Schaffer, who lost four years ago to Sen. Mark Udall in a fight for a vacant U.S. Senate seat.

To be honest, given Gov. John Hickenlooper’s famously stellar approval ratings, we would expect his re-elect number to be higher than 54%. That said, 54% isn’t a horrible place to start from, and candidates like shellacked 2008 Senate candidate Bob Schaffer don’t exactly inspire confidence that the GOP can make a fight of it. And seriously, Greg Brophy? If he gets the nod, you can be sure the GOP has written the race off Rollie Heath style.

One top Colorado Republican admitted to FOX31 Denver last week that the GOP’s best, and perhaps only, shot of winning the governor’s race would be if Hickenlooper set his sights higher and opted against a run at reelection.

“If Hickenlooper runs again, we’ll end up with a gadfly candidate, someone who might be smart enough to know they’re going to get trounced, but willing to do it for the experience and the fun of it,” said that Republican, who asked not to be identified.

A “gadfly” candidate? If not Schaffer, or Brophy, then who might that be? And in the event Gov. Hickenlooper pulls a Bill Ritter and opts not to run again, or for whatever reason were to become politically vulnerable by 2014…who might a serious candidate be?

21 Community Comments, Facebook Comments

  1. AristotleAristotle says:

    It was 60% back in September, according to the Ghost. It was their own poll, not PPP.

  2. Gilpin Guy says:

    but if he gets his feelings hurt and goes home then maybe an ex-Congressman like John Salazar or his brother Ken Salazar.

    Ken would be a nice choice.

    • allyncooper says:

      His name is Dan Maes. He might even do better than the last time, maybe get 12% or even 15% of the vote.

      On the Dem side, in the remote possibility Hick wouldn’t run in 2014, Morgan Carroll would have to be at the top of the list.

      • Gilpin Guy says:

        Secretary of the Interior

        US Senator from Colorado

        Colorado Attorney General

        He would 1st Hispanic Governor of Colorado

        or you can have Hickenlooper again.

        • allyncooper says:

          But IMO Carroll is a better choice. By 2014 she will have 10 years experience as a state representative and senator, just selected unanimously as Senate Majority Leader. Won first term Senator with 69% of vote, re-elected with 57% of vote (much more competitive district). Sharp as a tack, a work ethic second to none, and knows state government inside out.

          Would be first woman governor of Colorado. But that shouldn’t be any more of a consideration than  Salazar being Hispanic. She is simply the most qualified person and best choice to be the next governor of Colorado.  

          • parsingreality says:

            I worked as a volunteer for Morgan during two legislative sessions.  She is amazing in her talents and endurance.  All her bills are ones to help average citizens, and/or limit the power of the powerful.  

          • thagaycowboy says:

            Homegurl loves it too much. He will run barring a sex scandal or corruption charges. And, he’ll win.

            On the off chance that he doesn’t run, look for a run from Ken Salazar.

            No disrespect to Morgan but she is too much of a toe the party line Democrat to win a statewide race.  The Repubs would put up Cory Gardner, Jane Norton, or Walker Stapleton and wipe her across the floor. She’s never ran anywhere outside of a relatively safe D district.

            If you’re looking for strong female leadership, look for a comeback by Cary Kennedy, a statewide from someone like Linda Newell–a swing district winner, or–further down the line of course–a young up and comer like Westminster City Council’s Faith Winter.  

            • the Hick had better run more than a cute wet shirt campaign. Or show some nipple when he steps out of that shower.

              If a strong challenger steps up early in the primary game, I wouldn’t be surprised if Hick changed parties, just to ensure that O&G money keeps coming into his coffers.

            • BlueCat says:

              Morgan Carroll would get wiped across the floor by any of the names you mention, especially Walker Stapleton. I do agree that she is too much the base favorite Dem to be the best choice for a shot at state wide office. I can see her as a great congressional candidate in a Dem or truly competitive district.

  3. The realistThe realist says:

    by 2014 . . . ”

    File that one away for future reference.

  4. Littletonian says:

    The only Colorado Republican with any clout who I see as a legitimate candidate for high-level statewide office (governor or senator) is Cory Gardner. And he’s smart enough not to run against Hick.

    This one’s Hick’s if he wants it.

  5. caroman says:

    Where, oh where art thou, ArapaGOoP?

  6. parsingreality says:

    …if MJ isn’t in the stores by tomorrow.  

    • Whiskey Lima JulietWhiskey Lima Juliet says:

      The Boulder DA, Stan Garnett is showing more leadership and compassion right now.  Perhaps a vote of 55% by his constituents, his DAs and his Police Chiefs, will make leading easier for America’s Most popular Gov…

      Boulder police Chief Mark Beckner said in in light of the decision his department would also stop issuing tickets or making arrests for mere marijuana possession less than an ounce and paraphernalia.

      So, now all the white people and college kids are safe, how about the black and brown people?  Mitch Morrisey, what say you?  Denver passed with 65.98%!  Give the brown and black folks a break as well? You can do it, i know you can!

  7. Hick would take him apart easier than Romer did, but he would be credible in a run at an open seat.

  8. CastleMan says:

    Barring something unpredictable, Hickenlooper is re-elected in 2014. Then he runs for President in 2016. If I’m right, I think it would be a pretty good 2016 run, too. He might even get the party’s nomination because I don’t see either Hillary or Biden running.

  9. cunninjo says:

    He kind of got screwed in 2010 when he dropped out in lieu of Scott McInnis. He co-wrote an opinion piece in the Denver paper last Friday with Rob Witwer where he made a radical shift to the middle in explaining the need for Republicans to reach out to non-white male voters. It’s just too bad he didn’t talk like this when he was serving in the Senate.


  10. And I’m going to reject some of the sentiments above that she can’t compete outside of her ‘home’ district. The only thing stopping Carroll from statewide office is her altruistic lack of ambition.

    Democratic Primaries are won in the debates (which is why I love our Party) and we all know, in this world of ‘special interests,’ no Colorado politician has a finer record than Carroll. Her practiced ethics alone make it impossible for anyone else to defeat her in a debate. The only question is… does she want it? (I hope she does)

  11. BlueCat says:

    Governor would be “fun”.  

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