CO-04 (Special Election)
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(R) Greg Lopez
(R) Trisha Calvarese
90%
10%
President (To Win Colorado)
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(D) Joe Biden*
(R) Donald Trump
80%
20%↓
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
90%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
90%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(D) Adam Frisch
(R) Jeff Hurd
(R) Ron Hanks
40%
30%
20%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert
(R) Deborah Flora
(R) J. Sonnenberg
30%↑
15%↑
10%↓
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Dave Williams
(R) Jeff Crank
50%↓
50%↑
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
90%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) Brittany Pettersen
85%↑
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(D) Yadira Caraveo
(R) Gabe Evans
(R) Janak Joshi
60%↑
35%↓
30%↑
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
December 05, 2011 08:52 PM UTC
49 Comments
about changes on the CoSupreme Court as AGOP posited
Something is going to happen. Wait and see! this isn’t over by a long shot.
As a matter of fact, in ten years, you just wait, in ten years this is going to come back and we’re going to be seeing what is up then.
Just wait. It ain’t over till the fat GOP’er sings…
Brandon Shaffer starts planning his life after politics.
Mike Coffman adapts to the new CD-6, pulls his base as a military man and small business owner together, and stays in Congress despite every Democrat attempt to bring him down.
Scott Tipton? I don’t know, but I’m glad he’s got Sal Pace (D-Urination) running against him.
Perlmutter, and even Polis, have to work harder now.
I don’t like the decision but now I have to live with it, just like everyone else. The next steps are coming, and announcements of the death of the GOP in Colorado are GREATLY exaggerated!
from your previous over the top hysteria. See. We told you it wouldn’t be so bad and I agree this doesn’t mean curtains for Coffman.
But I’m much more angry about the reapportionment shenanigans. They are very different issues, and I am still hopeful the court will see the problems with what Mario Carrera and crew did.
He was appointed by a Democratic governor and he sided with Democrats. Why does that surprise you? Everyone knew going into the 2010 election that the Governor’s race was about reapportionment and redistricting. The GOP imploded on itself is now suffering the consequences.
He was appointed, at the suggestion of the state GOP Chair, by Chief Justice Bender.
Wrong about Carrera being appointed by the governor. And you assert
but you fail to note that what Hickenlooper actually did with his three choices, that could have been 3 Ds, is he appointed 2 Ds and 1 R (who was a very partisan R, by the way). You need to search for some different reasons to justify what you want to believe.
Hickenlooper did appoint one R to the commission. But he still appointed 2 D’s and Democrats are crazy if they didn’t know what they were getting when they nominated Hick in the first place. A GOP governor would have no doubt picked 3 R’s and this would be a much different conversation.
Regardless, the GOP didn’t take the governor’s race seriously and are suffering the consequences now. They can cry all they want but the Democrats held on to majority power in the state and, therefore, can draw maps that benefit them.
My point is that scapegoating Carrera as if he is the only vote on the commission is disingenuous. Blame the structural make-up of the commission that is designed to give one person so much power. I’d never heard of Carrera before this process began but he seems to have been pretty fair to both sides throughout. In the end he had to choose.
A-GOPbot functions better when he has an official line to spread.
Looks odd but says it all.
Perlmutter and Polis are already hard workers, so, that won’t change much there.
Agree with your other thoughts; unfortunately, agree that Tipton is lucky it is Pace running against him.
Disagree with the histrionics surrounding the decision. This is a political process and every ten years one side goes home happy, the other pissed. Last time it was the D’s, this time it is R’s.
Such is life.
That’s a pretty optimistic assessment about Shaffer’s chances. (Not that I disagree much with it – Gardner got a gift in this map.)
CD1: No meaningful change.
CD2: In reality, this is no longer the safe Dem seat it once was and moves to the lean column. With well over a third of the new district registered as unaffiliated, a moderate Republican can win this seat with a good campaign.
CD3: Remains a toss-up. Pace has his work cut out for him though, even with a slightly more favorable district.
CD4: Shaffer is officially toast. Any money that was coming in will stop as he’s now tilting at windmills.
CD5: No meaningful change.
CD6: If the party thinks Miklosi has a chance, expect a flurry of endorsements from the big names in the next day or so. If the DCCC doesn’t come out immediately with their financial support, expect a few other Dems, not just the most rumored one, to get into the race.
CD7: Remains lean Dem. Perlmutter has probably been the states most constituent responsive congressman, but like CD2, a moderate Republican with a good campaign could take him out.
a moderate, or even thoughtful, Republican to run in CD7 or anywhere else. What district does Dan Maes live in?
… have you seen going up against Perlmutter?
… are available from Larimer County to challenge Polis?
… are left in the party?
…I’m not saying it’s going to happen, just that it could.
Ken Summers could make a run at the 7th if he felt silly enough to do it. Does that moderate Republican exist? Probably not. Just say that if it did come to that, Ed could have another fight on his hands (one that I believe he would win handily like 2010). Anything is possible in the 7th I’ve learned.
As for Larimer County republicans, how about Steve Johnson? Former state rep. and senator, current county commissioner, Sponsor of Ref C&D and a pro-health care reform Republican. Probably the only GOP official in this state that I like. Hell, I’d love to see a congressional version of the Rocky Mountain Showdown!
Now what are the chances the CO-02 GOP elects him in a primary?
considering he’s fairly popular. If I were the GOP, I wouldn’t run him this time around. I’d wait till 2014 just in case Ft. Collins maintains it’s Democratic lean and Loveland doesn’t pony up.
But I’m not convinced that the district-wide GOP primary/caucus electorate would jump on his bandwagon.
Speaking of which, the Republican caucus is coming up very quickly. Do Republicans expect to have candidates for the new district maps up and ready to pound pavement by February 7?
Coffman leave the tea-party extreme right, and acknowledge there are other voters in the world. If I call, they might actually take my name and everything before hanging up on me. Naaaah…..
I wouldn’t hold out too much hope for beating Coffman’s incumbency but it will be more interesting and they’ll have to spend some money for a change. And when the seat is open, which it may be pretty soon with Coffman’s ambitions, there will be a real chance for a change of party for the first time in the history of CD6. Too bad we don’t have a really exciting candidate hidden away anywhere and I mean one with a lot more general fame than Andrew, much less Miklosi.
Most of Coffman’s current district has been moved elsewhere and portions that he has picked up don;t like him much.
Guess we’ll see soon enough. I wouldn’t be making any large wagers on shaking Coffman loose this time but would be delighted to be wrong.
Also think it’s a great opportunity to show a highly significant increase in support for whoever the Dem candidate turns out to be so that, even in losing, Dems gain the ability to receive really big bucks next time.
The era of CD6 Dems (like me and all Dems of Littleton proper) who were in the old district and remain in the new one feeling like we just flushed all our contributions down the toilet and spent all that time volunteering for nothing is over.
probably won’t be bragging about burning illegal immigrants at the stake until after he gets reelected so I suppose we should be thankful for these brief periods of respite from the red meat nasties.
They kept digging and came away worse.
Maybe next time Repulicans will reach a compromise before it goes to court.
Coffman’s frying pan and into Gardner’s fire . . . my life.
Hey Pancho, we got us a new windmill; did you see where I left that damn helmet and lance?
Well, I suppose it’s already been noted that the new maps can’t please everyone. Sorry for your gain.
In case anyone missed this link, some kind poster over at Daily Kos has been matching shape files to Google Maps to produce a good zoomable view of the new districts.
I was looking for the diary or comment that had this post.
Do you happen to have it handy?
Here it is…
From jeffmd at Daily Kos: Google Maps of redistricting
I’m guessing he’ll post updated diaries over time, but this is from 12/1 with updates, so it’s pretty current.
I actually don’t think the final map is all that bad for either party. In this very weird and volatile political climate with Congress feeling the disgust of the voters and the President trying to get his foundation firmed up, I think all Congressional races will come down to a two person, head-to-head contest. I would not be surprised if Coffman holds on with about 53% of the popular vote, and I would not be surprised if Tipton-Pace falls within the margin of an automatic recount.
I think what we may also see as a ripple effect is a re-energized “clear the bench” effort in 2012.
We haven’t met but I can tell you if you depend on the current Democratic Party organization in Mesa County to help you win, you are making a huge mistake.
You need to reach out and meet old guard Dems,moderate Repubs and above all Independents (I am one). Have a meet & greet at a public location not a private home and advance the meeting. Hearing about it after the fact isn’t going to get you anywhere!
Or did the Court rule unanimously (or at least without a roll-call vote) on the issue?
Just the order.
As the Democratic Chair for CD 6 and having worked for Democratic Candidates in CD 6 I am happy to see a more equitable constituent group will be served.
I am happy to see the district condensed to a more logically logistical area.
Too bad you won’t have a supporter of the FitzSimmons VA hospital. Isn’t Miklosi a veteran as well?
I’m sad for friends in Greeley who are forever stuck with a right-wing nutjob. I’m happy for friends in Aurora & Centennial who have a chance of representation. But for the love of god, what about those of us forever stuck with an absentee representative in Denver? Hey President Obama: Could you PLEASE appoint DeGette to something. Anything. Just make her go away and give us the chance for a representative who cares as much about serving their constituents as they do their own self preservation and self absorbed ego. BTW, Thank you for the stem cell research Diana. That was good. Now could you move on for all our sake?
you could back a primary challenge if you think she’s over stayed her welcome.
Good luck with that though.
That is going to be a fun show. I can’t wait to see Coffman doing Colfax. Maybe a sign pointing to Frazier’s neighborhood where the two can hang out together with a few brews and watch the prairie dogs play.
I said it before and I say it again – Miklosi needs to own the VA hospital with Perlmutter. It is because of Democrats that we have veteran care. Keep it that way and promote the hell out of it.
You should give Joe a call over at the campaign office.
Not that it’s a federal issue or anything, but maybe Tony Scaly and the gang could say something about how this violates equal protection of incumbents while assuring us that their opinion must never be used as a precedent.