Poll: Who Will Win the Republican Gubernatorial Primary?

Um....

the ultimate winner in the Republican Gubernatorial Primary will be John Hickenlooper.

But, the person getting the most votes whose name will be on the Republican ballot will be Scott McInnis...who will withdraw next week.

"But when I see a 9-11 victim family on television, or whatever, I'm just like, 'Oh, shut up!' I'm so sick of them because they're always complaining."  Glenn Beck  

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by: Arvadonian @ Mon Aug 09, 2010 at 17:05:17 PM UTC

agreed

but I think the Norton as replacement thing is a headfake.

Sorry Michael Bennet, but I'm a real person too

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by: StrykerK2 @ Mon Aug 09, 2010 at 17:07:27 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

Dan Maes got cool reception this morning, Tancredo warmly received

Tom Tancredo was warmly introduced and received at this morning's Jefferson Country Republican Mens Club.

I thought that Dan Maes got only a smattering of polite applause when he was introduced and later when he spoke.

Maes asked me whether I'm ready to "take it on the chin" tomorrow, assuming he wins the primary. I don't think he will win, and I don't care because I'm not voting in the GOP gubernatorial primary.

Tancredo made lots of news in his presentation and when we talked after he spoke.

Blogging since 2003 on health care, politics, business and investing.

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by: Donald Johnson @ Mon Aug 09, 2010 at 17:20:30 PM UTC

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Whoever wins will stay in the race

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by: TCU2011 @ Mon Aug 09, 2010 at 17:08:52 PM UTC

Maes

No one is voting for McInnis. All of my McInnis supporter friends are confessing to voting for Maes. AND I keep running into GOP-ers, who usually pass on Primary voting, that are voting mostly just to cast a ballot against McInnis. They are mostly clueless about the rest of the ballot (making me worry about the Senate vote) and were Scooby-doo running against McInnis, he'd probably win.

Oh and any "last minute push" for McInnis just isn't going to come about any time soon. Too many GOP leaders still think he can win and so are spending all their time (since Friday from what I can tell) figuring out how to get him to bow out.

But hey! Think how much fun we'll all have in a month or so when the Post asks Maes "how he won"! I don't know if he wins, so much as his opponent lost.

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by: Splitting Hairs @ Mon Aug 09, 2010 at 17:21:15 PM UTC

I don't think so

Scott will still win in the primary.

His name recognition is still higher and according to the new poll he is up by 1 with 19% undecided.  This means that its going to all be the GOTV that wins this race.  

Edge Scott because he has more resources than Dan.  Even through the plagiarism thing he still out fundraised Dan Maes and had more cash on hand.  His GOTV efforts will propel him to a close victory late in the night tomorrow.

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by: TCU2011 @ Mon Aug 09, 2010 at 17:54:36 PM UTC

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Normally I'd agree...

But he won't have a GOTV. At least nothing that would be recognized as such by an impartial observer.

GOTV, would mean Scotty and Lori have to come out of seclusion and campaign... Which won't happen until Lori gets done sobbing in her room and Scotty stops yelling at the walls and sticking knitting needles into his Tancredo voo-doo doll.

More important, even if the McInnis couple overcomes their very understandable descent into human emotion, Scotty would need supporters to run said GOTV and right now, all of his key supporters that I know are actively working to find his replacement... They think he is going to WIN! But they know he can't be the nominee.

We Republicans saw in 2006 what a GOTV looks like when paid staff ARE the GOTV... It was less than inspiring.

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by: Splitting Hairs @ Mon Aug 09, 2010 at 18:10:37 PM UTC

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Where have you been?

He's been on the campaign trail the past week at many small businesses and unleashed his economic recovery plan.  I've seen people out at honk and waves (again I dunno how effective but they've been out there regardless).  

I dunno where you are getting your info but I think it is a bit flawed by facts to the contrary.

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by: TCU2011 @ Mon Aug 09, 2010 at 23:10:09 PM UTC

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I almost can't even believe I'm typing it...

...but I think McInnis pulls this one off. And I can't even fathom a reality where he is persuaded to drop out of the race.

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by: ColoradoMountainGuy @ Mon Aug 09, 2010 at 18:48:55 PM UTC

McInnis Wins

by 5-7% and will stay in the race.  I don't know where the idea comes from that Scott will drop out to "help the party."  Scott doesn't give a damn about anyone but himself and if he can mount a half ass decent showing (a loss by less than 10 points) in the general, his political career might stay on life support for a future CD-3 run in 2012 or 2014.

The only thing I know is that the biggest winner in the 2010 election (besides the Dems) will be Josh Penry.  Saw whatever you want about his involvement with Norton, he has made himself the undisputed Golden Boy for the foreseeable future.  

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by: Sage Sam @ Mon Aug 09, 2010 at 18:51:00 PM UTC

Huh ?

Penry's trajectory has gone nowhere but straight downhill this year, and deservedly so.

" The webinar is free, however, there are only 250 spaces available "

Some douche

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by: Fidel's dirt nap @ Mon Aug 09, 2010 at 19:59:32 PM UTC

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Yeah... Maybe or maybe not...

I just don't get that... No one seems happy with Penry right now. At least no one I talk to. The Norton folks have been getting more and more upset with Penry since the State Assembly for not putting Buck down. On the other hand, and on the far more emotional side, is the side of the party determined to give his career a "9mm headache".

On a far more disturbing note though... Something happened in the fundraising world this summer, not really associated with the Norton Campaign... I don't know all the details, but he was supposed to deliver on a fundraiser and didn't. I don't know... if someone knows more, please contribute.

Penry as lots of fences to mend starting Wednesday. Now people are always more interested in playing nice with the winner, so if Jane wins... Or if he gets the nod after Scotty drops out... Maybe he will be the bell of the ball.

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by: Splitting Hairs @ Mon Aug 09, 2010 at 20:54:22 PM UTC

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Lsst Man Standing

Penry has cleared the deck, plain and simple.  After this election (barring a miracle from Buck/Norton) the only other remaining body that might be able to win a state office will be Mike Coffman.  He'll get the pick of the litter in 2 or 4 years provided he can remain relevant for that time frame.

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by: Sage Sam @ Tue Aug 10, 2010 at 03:01:30 AM UTC

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