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Norton a Conservative? Romanoff a Better Challenger?

by: SheepskinStrutt

Tue Feb 09, 2010 at 11:41:04 AM MST

With constant calls from some on the Right about Jane Norton being this "establishment candidate", a quasi-McCain (minus the inane "my friends", of course) figure propped up by the Washington elites, it is interesting to note how very often the arrows fall flat.

For example, take the latest from the Senate Conservatives Fund, where a quite conservative Balanced Budget Amendment and Earkmark Moratorium sees growing growing from US Senators, including liberal Republicans like Saxby Chambliss, moderates like John Ensign and Tom Coburn, and that paragon of leftism, Jim DeMint. http://senateconservatives.com...

If you didn't catch it, look at their American Conservative Union scores; with the exception of freshmen LeMieux and Risch (who obviously don't have scores yet), their average 2008 score was 85. Obviously peons of Chomsky.

And to doubtless astonishment, it is that faux Reaganite Norton, not the "true conservative" candidates, who has affirmed her desire for both measures to move forward. http://www.fortmorgantimes.com... http://www.janenortonforcolora...

She joins other Senate candidates, including Nevada's Danny Tarkanian and Curtis Coleman from Arkansas, in a list of US Senate candidates who have lended their support to the idea.

Norton continues to prove she is conservative enough and is going just far enough to win the primary without jeopardizing the general. I've made no secret of the fact that I am supporting Romanoff, thus mark this as the transition from reporting to opinion piece.....

With the political climate and the recent Rasmussen poll http://www.rasmussenreports.co... showing Norton 14-points up on Bennet, wouldn't it be smarter for Democrats to support Romanoff, who is polling far better? Even though AR is 7-points behind Norton, he continues to close the gap with each poll.

Romanoff also doesn't have the "insider" problem of both Bennet and Norton......just a thought.

SheepskinStrutt :: Norton a Conservative? Romanoff a Better Challenger?

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Norton a Conservative? Romanoff a Better Challenger? | 6 comments

Romanoff also doesn't have the "insider" problem of both Bennet and Norton

Oh for Pete's sake. Romanoff has been out in the cold for the last year. For a good eight years before that, he was the consummate insider. Do you even know what it means to be an insider?

by: RedGreen @ Tue Feb 09, 2010 at 13:05:55 PM CST

I think it's more perception than

reality on this one. To be sure, AR is not some political unknown. Oddly enough, he is perceived as being one, and should be running with it.

by: SheepskinStrutt @ Tue Feb 09, 2010 at 13:27:21 PM CST

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by: you @ soon

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Romanoff waited too long

If he had gotten into the race last March, Democrats may very well have been having that conversation right now. But because he waited so long, and gave Bennet such a huge head start in fundraising and messaging, you can't make a serious argument for that now.

And you also can't base anything on these polls. None of the matchup polls, IN ANY CAMPAIGN (except for perhaps President, because those candidates are more universally recognized), that are taken this far out are relevant.

It doesn't matter how a candidate might fare against another candidate today, because neither of them are known by voters or have put on their paid media blitz. Voters don't really know Romanoff, Bennet, Norton, Wiens OR Buck right now, so the answers to the poll questions are just based on vague recollections of name ID.

In a poll like this, all things are equal, because none of the candidates have yet exerted any advantages in things like TV ads. But if Norton is on TV 10 times more often than Buck in the 6 weeks leading up to the primary, who do you think voters are going to like better? Polls like this don't reflect what is likely to happen in August -- they only reflect what voters might perceive right now.

by: Colorado Pols @ Tue Feb 09, 2010 at 14:02:41 PM CST

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by: you @ soon

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I'll tell you what is known:

Bennet or Romanoff's challenger is not going to have a D next to her name, and that alone may be enough to win in a state like CO this year.

by: Robert Jordan @ Tue Feb 09, 2010 at 22:52:44 PM CST

[ Parent ]

This much is true:

The more hard-core Bennet or Romanoff's "challenger" gets, the less it will matter what letter is next to her name.

by: RedGreen @ Tue Feb 09, 2010 at 23:07:04 PM CST

[ Parent ]

Huh?

It would seem that AR can either run as the one with more experience and legislative track record or he can run as the outsider. Not both.

But the larger unaddressed problem is if AR's fundraising doesn't dramatically increase the R opponent will define him anyway she or he wants and he'll be powerless to counter that with a significant media campaign.

"Why do Republicans get to be stupid and win while whenever we're stupid, we're just stupid?" sufimarie Feb 2010

by: BICora @ Wed Feb 10, 2010 at 11:29:59 AM CST

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Norton a Conservative? Romanoff a Better Challenger? | 6 comments