Incumbent House Republicans Abandoning Ship

Democrats need to capture 24 seats in 2018 to re-take control of the House of Representatives. With the news today that California Rep. Darrell Issa will retire in 2018 rather than seek re-election, there are now 32 incumbent Republican Members of Congress who are walking away from office after this year.

As CNN’s Chris Cillizza explains:

Veteran Republicans — especially those in potentially competitive seats — are opting to head for the exits rather than remain in a Congress where, if the GOP retains control this November, they would be positioned to continue to wield considerable influence.

Issa and [Ed] Royce joins Rep. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen of Florida and Dave Reichert of Washington as Republican House members abandoning House seats Clinton won in 2016. There’s also a handful of other seats — Charlie Dent’s in Pennsylvania, Dave Trott’s in Michigan, Frank LoBiondo’s in New Jersey — where Trump won but the underlying political realities of the districts suggest Democrats will make a major play to win them this fall.

In each of those cases, the retiring members are simply walking away from Congress. They aren’t running for another higher office. They aren’t leaving to enter the Trump administration. They don’t have cushy, high-paying jobs lined up. They are just leaving.

The average seat loss for a President’s party in his first mid-term election is 23 seats…but since 1962 that number jumps to 40 for a President with an approval rating below 50%. Issa and other Republican incumbents seem to be making the determination that they would rather leave office on their own terms than face losing their seats in what is increasingly looking like a Democratic wave in 2018.

7 Community Comments, Facebook Comments

  1. bullshit!bullshit! says:

    Go home or get sent home, Mike Coffman.

  2. Conserv. Head Banger says:

    Dave Reichert (R-WA) is a big loss as he has been a strong defender of public lands.

    • Though a Dem in the seat is likely to be as good.

      • Conserv. Head Banger says:

        Phoenix: I'll take Republicans who are good on my issues wherever I can find them.

        • I'll take the person best on the largest number and most important issues – "mine: or not. That has not been a Republican in some time, except at the local level.

          Reichert was in favor of Trump's first Muslim country immigration ban, has protected the President from some investigations, is a Repeal Obamacare fanatic, is a supporter of the current ill-advised tax cuts, and yet contradictorally supports a Federal Balanced Budget Amendment (which most economists will tell you is unwise).

          Sure, he's good on the environment, weed, and protection of sex trafficing victims. For a Republican in today's political climate he's downright reasonable. But we can do better IMHO, especially in a district like his.

  3. RepealAndReplace says:

    Surprised Fluffy hasn't appeared to assure us there is nothing to see here.

  4. mamajama55mamajama55 says:

    Step away from the microphone, Darrell.

    You will not be missed.


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